Tampa Bay Rays vs. LA Angels Expert Pick 8/18/23

by | Last updated Aug 18, 2023 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Date: Friday, August 18th, 9:38 ET
Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Rays -108/Angels -112 (Check out the deals on our best sportsbooks list!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Angels and the Rays on Friday, August 18th at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TB -108 -1.5 O 9.5 (-104)
LAA -112 +1.5 U 9.5 (-117)

Rays vs. Angels Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Randy Arozarena 2 LF
Harold Ramírez 3 DH
Isaac Paredes 4 2B
Curtis Mead 5 3B
Luke Raley 6 RF
Jose Siri 7 CF
Christian Bethancourt 8 C
Osleivis Basabe 9 SS
Erasmo Ramírez SP

 

Batting Order Position
Luis Rengifo 1 SS
Shohei Ohtani 2 DH
Brandon Drury 3 2B
Mike Moustakas 4 3B
C.J. Cron 5 1B
Mickey Moniak 6 CF
Hunter Renfroe 7 RF
Matt Thaiss 8 C
Randal Grichuk 9 LF
Tyler Anderson SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Tampa Bay Rays: 73-50 SU / OU 63-56 / Runline 61-62
Los Angeles Angels: 60-62 SU / OU 60-59 / Runline 57-65

With an overall record of 73-50, the Rays are in 2nd place in the AL East, trailing by two games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Rays have a mark of 33-28 while going 40-22 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 21-12-5.

 

  • The Rays have covered the runline in 49.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.2
  • The Rays have been favored in 82.1% of their games and have runline records of 30-32 and 31-30 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Rays’ 123 games at 63-56.

Heading into today’s action, the Angels’ record of 60-62 has them sitting 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are 12.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 29-34 and 31-28, respectively. Los Angeles’ overall series record sits at 17-19-2.

 

  • The Angels have covered the runline in 46.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Angels have been favored in 52.5% of their games and have runline records of 26-33 and 31-32 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 122 games, the over has hit in half of the Angels’ games at 60-59.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Erasmo Ramírez 28 1 39 2-3 5.72 1.58 4

Today will be Erasmo Ramírez’s 29th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 2-3. His current ERA stands at 5.72 and OBP allowed of .353. So far, he struckout 21 batters and has a WHIP of 1.58. On the road, his ERA is 1.88 compared to 6.68 at home.

Pitching only one inning and giving up two runs in his last outing, Erasmo Ramírez did factor into the decision. The Rays ultimately fell to the Giants by a score of 7-0.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tyler Anderson 21 20 109 5-4 5.28 1.52 12

Across 21 appearances, Tyler Anderson has a slugging percentage allowed of .450 and enters with a WHIP of 1.52. His overall record is 5-4 on an ERA of 5.28. For the season, he has a total of 92 K’s, and is averaging 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Anderson’s record on the road is 2-3 and 3-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 6.25 (road) and 4.78 (home), respectively.

Having allowed seven runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Astros, Tyler Anderson is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Angels.

Rays vs. Angels Offense Outlook

After 123 games, the Rays are ranked 4th in the league with an average of 5.2 runs per game. Tampa Bay ranks 4th in home runs (177) while their overall batting average is .256. On the road, they have a BA of .252 and .249 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Harold Ramírez .385 4 .603 .435
Wander Franco .329 3 .537 .405
Yandy Díaz .317 5 .537 .397
Randy Arozarena .268 6 .488 .371
Manuel Margot .260 1 .364 .278

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Harold Ramírez .506 6 3 0 .639
Randy Arozarena .287 5 4 0 .400
Christian Bethancourt .367 5 2 1 .567
Yandy Díaz .267 5 1 0 .308
Brandon Lowe .167 2 2 1 .417

This season, the Angels are ranked 10th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. Los Angeles is ranked 3rd in home runs, with a total of 180 long balls. Their overall batting average is .251, including .252 on the road and .235 at home.

Los Angeles Angels Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Angels 122 4.8 (10th) 180 (3rd) .251 (11th) .324 (10th) .324 (10th)

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Shohei Ohtani .333 5 2 2 .771
Randal Grichuk .125 2 1 1 .312
Matt Thaiss .111 1 1 1 .444
Eduardo Escobar .305 3 2 0 .417
Mike Moustakas .278 3 0 0 .278

Free MLB Pick

The Rays starter Erasmo Ramirez has looked okay in his last two outings as an opener allowing one earned run over six innings, but those were against the Tigers and Nats. Not exactly the top performing offenses. The back numbers show the Angels roster has a lifetime .308 batting average over 39 at-bats versus Ramirez with players holding career numbers over .500. LAA starter lefty Tyler Anderson who was blown up in his latest going 4 2/3 innings and getting tagged with seven earned runs. He can pitch a good one, though, so you never know what you are to get, but the Rays crush lefties with a simulated 5.5 RPG. Tampa Bay has also been crushing it at the plate, putting up six or more runs in four of their six. Take the Over 9.5 +100.

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