St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Total Pick

by | Last updated Jun 18, 2023 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
Date: Sunday, June 18th, 1:40 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Cardinals +108/Mets -127
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Cardinals on Sunday, June 18th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
STL +108 +1.5 O 9.5 (100)
NYM -127 -1.5 U 9.5 (-121)

Cardinals vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Brendan Donovan 1 2B
Paul Goldschmidt 2 1B
Nolan Gorman 3 2B
Nolan Arenado 4 3B
Willson Contreras 5 C
Dylan Carlson 6 CF
Jordan Walker 7 RF
Paul DeJong 8 SS
Tommy Edman 9 SS
Matthew Liberatore SP


Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Francisco Alvarez 2 C
Tommy Pham 3 LF
Francisco Lindor 4 SS
Mark Vientos 5 3B
Starling Marte 6 CF
Jeff McNeil 7 2B
Mark Canha 8 LF
Eduardo Escobar 9 2B
Carlos Carrasco SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

St. Louis Cardinals: 28-43 SU / OU 35-36 / Runline 30-41
New York Mets: 33-37 SU / OU 31-36 / Runline 26-44

For the season, the Cardinals have put together a record of 28-43, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 5th, trailing by 8.5 games. This year, they have gone 13-21 at home and 15-22 on the road with an overall series mark of 6-13-3.

  • The Cardinals have covered the runline in 42.3% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Cardinals have been favored in 60.6% of their games and have runline records of 12-22 and 18-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Cardinals have an over/under record of just 35-36.

For the season, the Mets have put together a record of 33-37, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL East standings, they are 4th, trailing by 11.5 games. This year, they have gone 17-14 at home and 16-23 on the road with an overall series mark of 8-11-4.

  • The Mets have covered the runline in 37.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.3
  • The Mets have been favored in 70.0% of their games and have runline records of 12-19 and 14-25 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 31-36.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Matthew Liberatore 5 4 21 1-2 5.14 1.57 1


Matthew Liberatore heads into the game with an overall record of 1-2 and an ERA of 5.14. In his two appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 8.10 and record of 0-2. At home, he has put together a mark of 1-0 and ERA of 7.00. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.57, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .277. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .398.

Matthew Liberatore earned a quality start in his most recent outing, pitching six innings and giving up two runs. Despite his solid performance, the Cardinals were unable to beat the Giants and lost by a score of 4-3.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Carlos Carrasco 8 8 41 2-3 5.71 1.46 8


With an overall record of 2-3, the Mets will give Carlos Carrasco the start. His ERA stands at 5.71 with a K/9 figure of 0.6 after making eight appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 6.25 and an OBP of .352.

After a loss against the Pirates, Carlos Carrasco is coming off a performance where he gave up two runs on six hits over 4 2/3 innings.

Cardinals vs. Mets Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Cardinals are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 96 home runs (5th). Overall, St. Louis is averaging 4.5 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .248. At home, the Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .390 compared to .429 at home.

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Paul Goldschmidt .283 6 .476 .356
Nolan Arenado .231 7 .433 .300
Lars Nootbaar .284 3 .455 .365
Brendan Donovan .235 3 .333 .304
Paul DeJong .253 5 .463 .337


St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Paul Goldschmidt .313 6 3 2 .583
Tommy Edman .150 3 3 1 .350
Jordan Walker .380 7 1 1 .713
Brendan Donovan .320 7 3 0 .370
Willson Contreras .125 2 2 1 .312


This season, the Mets are ranked 17th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. New York is ranked 8th in home runs, with a total of 83 long balls. Their overall batting average is .241, including .234 on the road and .228 at home.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Mets 71 4.4 (17th) 83 (8th) .241 (16th) .319 (13th) .319 (13th)


New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Nimmo .250 5 3 2 .600
Jeff McNeil .250 5 3 1 .400
Brett Baty .250 5 2 0 .300
Starling Marte .300 5 3 0 .362
Luis Guillorme .233 3 1 1 .567


Free MLB Pick

Like the Orioles/Cubs game, this matchup has two starters who have not been at their best in day games and in the home away role.. Matthew Liberature is 0-2 in away games with a bloated 8.00 ERA and Carlos Carrasco is 0-3 and 7.36 ERA in day games and 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA in home games. Neither team’s bullpen has been consistently getting the job done making the total the way to go here. Take the Over 9 -120

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