St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – Road Team Cashes

by | Last updated May 9, 2024 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Thursday, May 9th, 7:40 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Cardinals -127/Brewers +106
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cardinals on Thursday, May 9th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
STL -127 -1.5 O 8 (-117)
MIL +106 +1.5 U 8 (-105)

Thursday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers is set for 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. St. Louis will be sending Sonny Gray to the mound, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Coming into the game, the Cardinals are 15-21, while the Brewers are 21-15.

The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line at -127. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSWI.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Brendan Donovan 1 LF
Lars Nootbaar 2 RF
Nolan Arenado 3 3B
Paul Goldschmidt 4 1B
Alec Burleson 5 DH
Iván Herrera 6 C
Nolan Gorman 7 2B
Masyn Winn 8 SS
Dylan Carlson 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP


Player Batting Order Position
Sal Frelick 1 CF
William Contreras 2 C
Christian Yelich 3 LF
Willy Adames 4 SS
Jake Bauers 5 1B
Rhys Hoskins 6 DH
Brice Turang 7 2B
Joey Ortiz 8 3B
Jackson Chourio 9 RF
Tobias Myers SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

St. Louis Cardinals: 15-21 SU / OU 13-22 / Runline 18-18
Milwaukee Brewers: 21-15 SU / OU 21-15 / Runline 18-18

Cardinals Records & Recent Play

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 7-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Mets scored six runs in the top of the 5th. St. Louis was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.

Miles Mikolas had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. Alec Burleson was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Cardinals also had three other players with two hits.

St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, all of which have come in NL Central matchups. Currently, they are 6.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and are 15-21 overall. The Cardinals have lost two straight as the favorite, and they are 8-11 when favored this year.

The Cardinals are just 5-15 in day games this year, and they are 9-10 on the road compared to 6-11 at home. So far, they have dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 5-7 this year. St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Mets with two straight losses and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The Cardinals are 18-18 on the run line this season, including a 10-9 mark on the road. However, they have failed to cover in their last two road games and are just 7-12 against the run line as the favorite. Overall, St. Louis has an average run differential of -1.0 runs per game this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 13-22, and when the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 1-4-1. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 6-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at +101 on the money line. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Joe Ross had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on just three hits and issuing two walks. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Gary Sánchez, who went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee will host the Cardinals with an overall record of 21-15, which has them tied with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers and Cubs are also tied for the division lead, and they are 8-5 in divisional games this year. At home, the Brewers are just 7-7 this year but have been much better on the road, going 14-8.

As the favorite, the Brewers are 9-6 this year and 12-9 when they are the underdog. Milwaukee lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Royals, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Brewers have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 6-4-2 this year.

When the Brewers are at home, they have a run line record of 4-10 and their average run margin is -0.9. As the underdog, they are 14-7 against the run line. Overall, they have a run line record of 18-18, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the St. Louis Cardinals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-15. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Brewers’ games have gone under in all three instances. Overall, 63.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Sonny Gray has been off to a great start for the Cardinals, and he will be taking on the Brewers on the road. In his last start, Gray went 7 innings, allowing 3 hits, and 6 strikeouts. He has a win in each of his first two starts, and he has yet to allow an earned run this season.

Getting the start at home for the Brewers is Tobias Myers. He has had a bit of a tough start to the season, as he has taken the loss in both of his starts. In his last outing, he went 3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 3 hits and 2 home runs. In his first start, he went 5 innings and struck out 5, but also gave up 4 runs.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

St. Louis is hoping that their offense can start to pick things up, as they are currently 29th in the league in runs per game at 3.5. Not only are the Cardinals near the bottom of the league in scoring, but they also have the worst team batting average in the league at just .218. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Over his last 10 games, Nolan Arenado is hitting .289 with eight RBIs, and he comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak. Willson Contreras has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/36 in his last 10 games with two homers. Brendan Donovan is also on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .223 for the season.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. Milwaukee’s offense has been led by William Contreras, who is batting .329 for the season and has driven in 29 runs, which is 6th in the league.

Willy Adames is currently on a three-game hitting streak and is the Brewers’ leader in home runs, with seven. Adames is batting .257 for the season. Gary Sanchez has two homers in his last three games and is batting .232 for the season.

Free Cardinals vs. Brewers MLB Pick

The Brewers’ offense has come down to earth of late, and they are facing Sonny Gray, who they’ve already have a tough time against once this season. For this NL Central matchup, I’m taking the Cardinals to pick up the win and like them at -127.

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