St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Runline Pick
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, September 27th, 7:40 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Stl +118/Mil -140
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cardinals on Wednesday, September 27th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
STL | +118 | +1.5 | O 8 (-112) |
MIL | -140 | -1.5 | U 8 (-109) |
Cardinals vs. Brewers Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Tommy Edman | 1 | 2B |
Lars Nootbaar | 2 | CF |
Paul Goldschmidt | 3 | 1B |
Jordan Walker | 4 | RF |
Luken Baker | 5 | DH |
Andrew Knizner | 6 | C |
Richie Palacios | 7 | LF |
Jose Fermin | 8 | 3B |
Masyn Winn | 9 | SS |
Zack Thompson | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 1 | LF |
William Contreras | 2 | C |
Carlos Santana | 3 | 1B |
Mark Canha | 4 | DH |
Willy Adames | 5 | SS |
Josh Donaldson | 6 | 3B |
Sal Frelick | 7 | CF |
Andruw Monasterio | 8 | 2B |
Blake Perkins | 9 | RF |
Wade Miley | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
St. Louis Cardinals: 69-88 SU / OU 76-75 / Runline 75-82
Milwaukee Brewers: 88-69 SU / OU 71-81 / Runline 77-80
For the season, the Cardinals have put together a record of 69-88, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 5th, trailing by 19.5 games. This year, they have gone 33-45 at home and 36-43 on the road with an overall series mark of 19-25-5.
- The Cardinals have covered the runline in 47.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
- The Cardinals have been favored in 48.4% of their games and have runline records of 34-44 and 41-38 at home and on the road, respectively
- Through 157 games, the over has hit in half of the Cardinals’ games at 76-75.
Against the Cardinals, the Brewers are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 88-69 is stil good for 1st in the NL Central. At home, Milwaukee has gone 45-31 and 43-38 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 27-20-2.
- The Brewers have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
- The Brewers have been favored in 54.8% of their games and have runline records of 33-43 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 71-81.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zack Thompson | 24 | 8 | 61 | 5-7 | 4.57 | 1.44 | 8 |
For the season, St. Louis starter Zack Thompson has a record of 5-7 and ERA of 4.57. One thing to note, is that he has given up four or more earned run in two straight games. Overall, he has a slugging percentage allowed of .418 with opponents putting together a batting average of .268 against him. In terms of strikeouts, he comes in with a season-long total of 67 while issuing 24 walks.
St. Louis lost the last time Thompson pitched, falling to the Brewers by a final score of 8-2. In the game, Thompson went five innings and allowed four earned runs on five hits.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wade Miley | 22 | 22 | 115 | 9-4 | 3.20 | 1.13 | 16 |
Milwaukee starter Wade Miley enters with an overall record of 9-4 and ERA of 3.20. His ERA on the road is 2.99 and 3.84 when pitching at home. Miley’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.13 with a batting average allowed of .215. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .382 against him.
Miley picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up zero earned runs and three hits across six innings vs. the Cardinals. The Brewers won the game by a score of 6-0.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Offense Outlook
With 157 games under their belt, the Cardinals are currently 18th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. St. Louis’ home run ranking is 10th, with the team having hit 207 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .234 on the road and .254 at home, is .249.
St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters vs. Lefties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Goldschmidt | .301 | 5 | .459 | .358 |
Tommy Edman | .248 | 6 | .441 | .314 |
Willson Contreras | .296 | 5 | .537 | .384 |
Nolan Arenado | .227 | 5 | .394 | .286 |
Lars Nootbaar | .238 | 2 | .327 | .298 |
St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tommy Edman | .325 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .562 |
Luken Baker | .250 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .500 |
Richie Palacios | .291 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .500 |
Masyn Winn | .146 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .333 |
Jordan Walker | .342 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .508 |
In terms of offensive production Milwaukee is currently ranked 17th in the league this season. The team has hit 162 home runs, which is 20th, and their batting average of .239 is ranked 17th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 21st in batting average, compared to 22nd when playing at home.
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Lefties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
William Contreras | .363 | 10 | .664 | .462 |
Carlos Santana | .271 | 5 | .444 | .347 |
Mark Canha | .257 | 6 | .463 | .351 |
Christian Yelich | .241 | 3 | .355 | .289 |
Joey Wiemer | .267 | 7 | .517 | .343 |
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | .338 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .825 |
Carlos Santana | .458 | 8 | 2 | 1 | .812 |
William Contreras | .458 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .521 |
Josh Donaldson | .133 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .367 |
Brice Turang | .244 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .244 |
Free MLB Pick
I believe the Brewers beat up on the Cards Mikolas and get Miley to double-digit wins. Take Milwaukee on the runline!
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