St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick
Date: Wednesday, July 26th, 3:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: BSAZ
Money Line: Cardinals +133/Diamondbacks -159
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Cardinals on Wednesday, July 26th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
STL | +133 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-120) |
ARI | -159 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (100) |
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Brendan Donovan | 1 | 2B |
Paul Goldschmidt | 2 | 1B |
Lars Nootbaar | 3 | RF |
Nolan Arenado | 4 | 3B |
Willson Contreras | 5 | C |
Jordan Walker | 6 | RF |
Nolan Gorman | 7 | 2B |
Paul DeJong | 8 | SS |
Dylan Carlson | 9 | CF |
Jack Flaherty | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Geraldo Perdomo | 1 | SS |
Ketel Marte | 2 | 2B |
Corbin Carroll | 3 | LF |
Christian Walker | 4 | 1B |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 5 | LF |
Emmanuel Rivera | 6 | 3B |
Jake McCarthy | 7 | RF |
Carson Kelly | 8 | C |
Alek Thomas | 9 | CF |
Zac Gallen | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
St. Louis Cardinals: 45-57 SU / OU 52-47 / Runline 51-51
Arizona Diamondbacks: 55-47 SU / OU 46-50 / Runline 57-45
With an overall record of 45-57, the Cardinals are in 4th place in the NL Central, trailing by 11 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Cardinals have a mark of 23-31 while going 22-26 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 12-16-4.
- The Cardinals have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
- The Cardinals have been favored in 55.9% of their games and have runline records of 21-27 and 30-24 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 53% of the Cardinals’ 102 games at 52-47.
Heading into today’s action, the Diamondbacks’ record of 55-47 has them sitting 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 28-22 and 27-25, respectively. Arizona’s overall series record sits at 19-11-3.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 55.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
- The Diamondbacks have been favored in 47.1% of their games and have runline records of 27-25 and 30-20 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 46-50.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Flaherty | 19 | 19 | 104 | 7-6 | 4.38 | 1.53 | 9 |
St. Louis starter Jack Flaherty enters with an overall record of 7-6 and ERA of 4.38. His ERA on the road is 3.67 and 8.41 when pitching at home. Flaherty’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.53 with a batting average allowed of .271. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .409 against him.
Despite pitching for six innings in his most recent start, Flaherty and the Cardinals suffered a 4-3 loss against the Cubs. In the game, he gave up four runs on eight hits.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zac Gallen | 21 | 21 | 130 | 11-4 | 3.18 | 1.06 | 12 |
Arizona starter Zac Gallen enters with an overall record of 11-4 and ERA of 3.18. His ERA on the road is 5.47 and 1.52 when pitching at home. Gallen’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.06 with a batting average allowed of .225. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .357 against him.
Zac Gallen took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing seven innings and giving up three runs. Despite picking up a quality start, the Diamondbacks lost to the Braves by a score of 7-5.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook
So far this season, the Cardinals are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 137 home runs (7th). Overall, St. Louis is averaging 4.7 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .256. At home, the Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .404 compared to .432 at home.
St. Louis Cardinals Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Goldschmidt | .285 | .372 | .472 | 53 | 17 | 9 |
Nolan Arenado | .287 | .335 | .521 | 77 | 22 | 2 |
Nolan Gorman | .239 | .321 | .482 | 62 | 20 | 5 |
St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lars Nootbaar | .250 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .450 |
Paul Goldschmidt | .246 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .396 |
Nolan Arenado | .297 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .417 |
Tyler O’Neill | .200 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .300 |
Brendan Donovan | .370 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .420 |
This season, Arizona has been scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 7th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 118 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .257 ranks 6th in the league. On the road, the Diamondbacks are 7th in batting average, compared to 9th at home.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks | 102 | 4.9 (7th) | 118 (14th) | .257 (6th) | .327 (9th) | .327 (9th) |
Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte | .567 | 10 | 4 | 2 | .987 |
Corbin Carroll | .367 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.117 |
Christian Walker | .250 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .550 |
Geraldo Perdomo | .180 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .260 |
Alek Thomas | .283 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .483 |
Free MLB Pick
The Cards starter Jack Flaherty has good back numbers against the D’backs in a small sample size holding the roster to a .215 batting average in 28 at-bats. His road splits are decent, with a 3.55 ERA over 11 starts. Arizona starter Zac Gallen hasn’t been great in his two starts since the break, but they both came on the road, and it’s at home where he is golden with an incredible 1.48 ERA. I’m taking the UNDER 8.5.
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