Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Odds, Stats, Free Pick

by | Last updated Jun 8, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners George Kirby
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Wednesday, June 7th, 4:10 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: BSSD
Money Line: Mariners +100/Padres -119
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Mariners on Wednesday, June 7th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA +100 +1.5 O 8 (-103)
SD -119 -1.5 U 8 (-119)

Mariners vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Ty France 2 1B
Julio Rodríguez 3 CF
Jarred Kelenic 4 CF
Eugenio Suárez 5 3B
Cal Raleigh 6 C
Teoscar Hernández 7 RF
Mike Ford 8 1B
Kolten Wong 9 2B
George Kirby – SP


Batting Order Position
Xander Bogaerts 1 SS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Juan Soto 3 RF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Jake Cronenworth 5 2B
Gary Sánchez 6 C
Matt Carpenter 7 DH
Ha-Seong Kim 8 SS
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Michael Wacha – SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 30-30 SU / OU 29-31 / Runline 28-32
San Diego Padres: 28-33 SU / OU 19-40 / Runline 29-32

For the season, the Mariners have put together a record of 30-30, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the AL West standings, they are 4th, trailing by 10 games. This year, they have gone 17-15 at home and 13-15 on the road with an overall series mark of 8-11.

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in 46.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Mariners have been favored in 70.0% of their games and have runline records of 13-19 and 15-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mariners have an over/under record of just 29-31.

Heading into today’s action, the Padres’ record of 28-33 has them sitting 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 14-15 and 14-18, respectively. San Diego’s overall series record sits at 6-10-3.

  • The Padres have covered the runline in 47.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
  • The Padres have been favored in 65.6% of their games and have runline records of 13-19 and 16-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 19-40.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
George Kirby 11 11 71 5-4 3.04 1.01 7

 

The Mariners will turn to starter George Kirby who has an overall record of 5-4. After 11 appearances, his ERA is 3.04 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.27 and an OBP of .261.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, George Kirby did not factor into the decision in the Mariners’ 1-0 win over the Yankees. He surrendered zero runs on three hits across eight innings of work.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael Wacha 11 11 62 5-2 3.48 1.15 6

 

Across 11 appearances, Michael Wacha has a slugging percentage allowed of .384 and enters with a WHIP of 1.15. His overall record is 5-2 on an ERA of 3.48. For the season, he has a total of 57 K’s, and is averaging 0.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Wacha’s record on the road is 2-0 and 3-2 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.14 (road) and 4.07 (home), respectively.

Having allowed two runs on three hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Cubs, Michael Wacha is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Padres.

Mariners vs. Padres Offense Outlook

The Mariners have played 60 games and have an average of 4.4 runs per game, which puts them 17th in the league. Seattle has hit 63 home runs (16th). Their batting average comes in at .228, while hitting .223 on the road and .225 at home.

Seattle Mariners Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Julio Rodríguez .246 .304 .442 33 11 12
Jarred Kelenic .264 .328 .486 27 10 7
Ty France .273 .342 .416 27 5 1

 

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Teoscar Hernández .380 7 2 1 .663
Julio Rodríguez .300 6 2 1 .450
Ty France .320 7 3 0 .410
José Caballero .167 3 2 0 .217
Eugenio Suárez .150 3 1 0 .250

 

The Padres have played 61 games and have an average of 4.1 runs per game, which puts them 20th in the league. San Diego has hit 68 home runs (13th). Their batting average comes in at .220, while hitting .202 on the road and .227 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Juan Soto .248 .411 .466 27 10 6
Xander Bogaerts .252 .337 .388 21 7 6
Fernando Tatis Jr. .257 .303 .497 28 11 6

 

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Fernando Tatis Jr. .280 6 2 2 .570
Gary Sánchez .200 3 2 1 .467
Ha-Seong Kim .333 4 1 0 .500
Manny Machado .200 4 3 0 .250
Trent Grisham .222 2 2 0 .333

 

Free MLB Pick

I think the total is the best way to bet on this game. The starters have great numbers in their day starts, with George Kirby having a 2.57 ERA and 0.96 WHIP and Michael Wacha an even better 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. We have two of the least productive offenses in MLB, and I think we have a game score similar to yesterday. Take the UNDER 8 -120.

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