Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 9/5/23

by | Last updated Sep 5, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 5th, 6:40 ET

Location: Great American Ball Park

TV: BSOH

Money Line: Mariners -164/Reds +137 (Save an immense amount of money by betting your games at reduced odds at BetAnySports! You lay -105 on football/hoops there instead of -110 too!)

Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Mariners on Tuesday, September 5th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA -164 -1.5 O 10 (-114)
CIN +137 +1.5 U 10 (-107)

Mariners vs. Reds Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Eugenio Suárez 3 3B
Cal Raleigh 4 C
Teoscar Hernández 5 RF
Ty France 6 1B
Dominic Canzone 7 LF
Mike Ford 8 DH
Josh Rojas 9 2B
Bryce Miller SP

 

Batting Order Position
Jake Fraley 1 DH
TJ Friedl 2 CF
Spencer Steer 3 2B
Elly De La Cruz 4 SS
Nick Martini 5 LF
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 6 1B
Tyler Stephenson 7 C
Noelvi Marte 8 3B
Will Benson 9 RF
Connor Phillips SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 77-60 SU / OU 68-67 / Runline 69-68
Cincinnati Reds: 72-68 SU / OU 67-73 / Runline 85-55

Against the Reds, the Mariners are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 77-60 is stil good for 1st in the AL West. At home, Seattle has gone 39-29 and 38-31 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 24-18-2.

 

  • The Mariners have six straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
  • The Mariners have been favored in 69.3% of their games and have runline records of 29-39 and 40-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 137 games, the over has hit in half of the Mariners’ games at 68-67.

So far this season, the Reds have an overall record of 72-68, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 5.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 38-32 and 34-36 at home. The team’s series record is 19-19-6.

 

  • The Reds have covered the runline in 60.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Reds have been favored in 24.3% of their games and have runline records of 40-30 and 45-25 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Reds have an over/under record of just 67-73.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bryce Miller 20 20 107 8-4 3.93 1.05 14


Entering with a record of 8-4, Bryce Miller is making his 21st appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.93 on a batting average allowed of .224. On the road, he is 3-2 with a 6.29 ERA and 5-2 at home on an ERA of 3.97. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .389 against him.

In his last outing, Bryce Miller did not factor into the decision in the Mariners’ 5-4 win over the Athletics. However, he did finish with a quality start, allowing three runs on seven hits across six innings of work.

The Reds will be turning to Connor Phillips, who is making his first career start. Over their last five contests, the Reds’ staff is 13th in runs allowed per game.

Mariners vs. Reds Offense Outlook

This season, the Mariners are ranked 11th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. Seattle is ranked 10th in home runs, with a total of 181 long balls. Their overall batting average is .244, including .243 on the road and .236 at home.

Seattle Mariners Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Julio Rodríguez .284 .342 .485 89 25 36
Teoscar Hernández .266 .309 .460 84 24 6
Eugenio Suárez .230 .325 .380 83 18 2


Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
J.P. Crawford .333 5 4 2 .771
Dominic Canzone .375 5 2 2 1.000
Julio Rodríguez .225 4 2 1 .537
Mike Ford .208 3 3 2 .646
Teoscar Hernández .312 5 1 1 .562


This season, Cincinnati is 10th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Currently, they have hit 159 home runs, placing them 16th. In terms of batting average, Cincinnati is 7th in the league. On the road, their BA of .245 is 10th, compared to 20th (.239) when playing at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Spencer Steer .269 .355 .458 76 20 12
TJ Friedl .268 .335 .425 50 12 24
Matt McLain .290 .357 .507 50 16 14


Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Spencer Steer .323 6 3 2 .593
Tyler Stephenson .367 6 1 1 .667
TJ Friedl .213 4 4 1 .400
Noelvi Marte .300 5 2 0 .350
Elly De La Cruz .250 4 1 0 .300


Free MLB Pick

Take Seattle -1.5 -102

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