Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves Total Pick 5/19/23

by | Last updated May 19, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Friday, May 19th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Mariners +124/Braves -146
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Mariners on Friday, May 19th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA +124 +1.5 O 8.5 (-117)
ATL -146 -1.5 U 8.5 (-103)

Mariners vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Julio Rodríguez 1 CF
Ty France 2 1B
Jarred Kelenic 3 CF
Eugenio Suárez 4 3B
Cal Raleigh 5 C
Teoscar Hernández 6 RF
J.P. Crawford 7 SS
Jose Caballero 8 SS
Kolten Wong 9 2B
Bryce Miller SP


Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Eddie Rosario 5 LF
Ozzie Albies 6 2B
Travis d’Arnaud 7 C
Michael Harris II 8 CF
Orlando Arcia 9 2B
Bryce Elder SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 21-22 SU / OU 21-22 / Runline 21-22
Atlanta Braves: 27-16 SU / OU 26-16 / Runline 20-23

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Mariners have a record of 21-22 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 6-7. At home, they have gone 10-12 and 11-10 on the road.

  • The Mariners have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Mariners have been favored in 72.1% of their games and have runline records of 9-13 and 12-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mariners have an over/under record of just 21-22.

Currently, the Braves are first in the NL East with a record of 27-16. Over their last ten games, Atlanta has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 17-7 and are 10-9 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 9-3.

  • The Braves have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.4.
  • The Braves have been favored in 81.4% of their games and have runline records of 5-14 and 15-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 62% of the Braves’ 43 games at 26-16.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bryce Miller 3 3 19 2-0 .47 .42 0


Seattle is looking to Bryce Miller to deliver yet another impressive performance, given he has earned a win in two consecutive games. So far he has an ERA of .47 and record of 2-0. Throughout the season, he has accumulated 18 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .111. In terms of slugging percentage, teams have SLG of .143 vs. Miller.

The last time Bryce Miller took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-0 against the Tigers. Miller gave up zero runs and three hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bryce Elder 8 8 46 3-0 1.94 1.12 3


The Braves will turn to starter Bryce Elder who has an overall record of 3-0. After eight appearances, his ERA is 1.94 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.56 and an OBP of .291.

Bryce Elder finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Blue Jays. He allowed two runs on five hits over five innings. The Braves went on to lose the game by a score of 5-2.

Mariners vs. Braves Offense Outlook

After 43 games played, the Mariners are 15th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 20th, on a total of 45 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .226 on the road and .221 at home, is .227.

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Jarred Kelenic .308 5 .590 .405
Teoscar Hernández .239 4 .432 .300
Ty France .235 0 .294 .267
Eugenio Suárez .220 3 .341 .305
Julio Rodríguez .210 3 .346 .280


Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Cal Raleigh .353 6 5 2 .760
Teoscar Hernández .400 8 3 1 .650
Eugenio Suárez .250 4 4 1 .400
Jarred Kelenic .180 4 4 1 .380
Julio Rodríguez .150 3 2 0 .200


The Braves come into the game ranked 6th in the league on an average of 5.3 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Atlanta is 2nd, having hit the ball out of the park 74 times. Their overall batting average stands at .257. On the road, they are hitting .255 while .248 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ronald Acuña Jr. .345 .437 .613 27 11 18
Matt Olson .230 .367 .491 30 11 0
Sean Murphy .268 .400 .575 34 10 0


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ronald Acuña Jr. .350 7 6 4 .950
Orlando Arcia .467 7 4 2 1.167
Marcell Ozuna .350 5 3 2 .800
Ozzie Albies .237 5 3 1 .437
Austin Riley .290 6 2 1 .460


Free MLB Pick

Although this selection might seem like a square pick, both starting pitchers have been performing exceptionally well this season. Bryce Miller from the Seattle Mariners has only made three career starts so far, and impressively, he has recorded a quality start in each of them. In total, he has pitched for 21 innings and has only allowed one earned run.

On the other side, the Atlanta Braves have Bryce Elder, who has more experience, having played last season and already making eight starts this year. While his recent performances haven’t been as strong, it’s important to note that overall, he has held the opposing teams to three or fewer runs in seven out of his eight starts.

Considering the impressive performances of both pitchers, it’s a challenging decision. However, based on their track records, it seems like they will likely limit the opposition’s scoring. Take the Under 8.5

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