Seattle Mariners vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Aug 10, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Friday, July 28th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: BSAZ
Money Line: Mariners -135/Diamondbacks +115 (Be smart! Bet at reduced juice!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Mariners on Friday, July 28th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA -135 -1.5 O 9 (-107)
ARI +115 +1.5 U 9 (-114)

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Ty France 3 1B
Teoscar Hernández 4 RF
Eugenio Suárez 5 3B
Tom Murphy 6 C
Dylan Moore 7 LF
Taylor Trammell 8 DH
Jose Caballero 9 2B
Logan Gilbert SP

 

Batting Order Position
Geraldo Perdomo 1 SS
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Corbin Carroll 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 DH
Emmanuel Rivera 6 3B
Jake McCarthy 7 RF
Carson Kelly 8 C
Alek Thomas 9 CF
Tommy Henry SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 52-50 SU / OU 51-50 / Runline 49-53
Arizona Diamondbacks: 55-48 SU / OU 47-50 / Runline 57-46

On a record of 52-50, the Mariners are 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Diamondbacks, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 23-25 while going 29-25 at home. Seattle’s overall series record is 14-16-2.

 

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
  • The Mariners have been favored in 65.7% of their games and have runline records of 21-33 and 28-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 102 games, the over has hit in half of the Mariners’ games at 51-50.

For the season, the Diamondbacks have put together a record of 55-48, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL West standings, they are 3rd, trailing by four games. This year, they have gone 27-26 at home and 28-22 on the road with an overall series mark of 19-11-3.

 

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 55.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 47.6% of their games and have runline records of 27-26 and 30-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 47-50.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Logan Gilbert 20 20 118 8-5 3.88 1.04 16

 

Entering with a record of 8-5, Logan Gilbert is making his 21st appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.88 on a batting average allowed of .226. On the road, he is 6-1 with a 4.36 ERA and 2-4 at home on an ERA of 5.07. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .385 against him.

Logan Gilbert is coming off an outing against the Blue Jays in which he gave up five runs and eight hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Mariners won by a score of 9-8.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tommy Henry 16 15 83 5-3 4.01 1.37 12

 

Tommy Henry has an overall record of 5-3, and will get the start for the Diamondbacks. With 16 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 4.01, while his K/9 figure is 6.29. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.14 and an OBP of .323.

Having allowed four runs on four hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Reds, Tommy Henry is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Diamondbacks.

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

On offense, Seattle is 16th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 11th, having hit 123 homers. Their overall batting average is .232, including .228 on the road and .227 at home.

Seattle Mariners Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Mariners 102 4.5 (16th) 123 (11th) .232 (22nd) .312 (16th) .312 (16th)

 

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Julio Rodríguez .350 7 5 3 .900
Dylan Moore .583 4 2 2 1.083
Cade Marlowe .389 3 3 1 .833
Kolten Wong .375 3 2 1 1.125
Eugenio Suárez .175 3 1 0 .237

 

The Diamondbacks come into the game ranked 7th in the league on an average of 5 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Arizona is 12th, having hit the ball out of the park 120 times. Their overall batting average stands at .258. On the road, they are hitting .248 while .258 at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Corbin Carroll .288 .365 .556 57 21 30
Christian Walker .268 .343 .528 67 22 7
Ketel Marte .291 .370 .515 55 17 6

 

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corbin Carroll .562 6 4 1 1.312
Christian Walker .438 7 3 2 .938
Emmanuel Rivera .483 5 3 1 .850
Geraldo Perdomo .225 4 2 0 .450
Ketel Marte .475 6 3 0 .600

 

Free MLB Pick

I think that the Mariners have enough of an edge in starting pitching and their bats are hot to bet this on the runline. Take Seattle -1.5 +120.

MLB Betting Guide

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