San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/23/23

by | May 23, 2023 | mlb

Alex Cobb Giants Starting Pitcher
San Francisco Giants vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Tuesday, May 23rd, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Giants +119/Twins -140
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Giants on Tuesday, May 23rd at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SF +119 +1.5 O 7.5 (-115)
MIN -140 -1.5 U 7.5 (-106)

Giants vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
LaMonte Wade Jr. 1 1B
Thairo Estrada 2 2B
J.D. Davis 3 3B
Michael Conforto 4 LF
Mitch Haniger 5 RF
Mike Yastrzemski 6 CF
Casey Schmitt 7 3B
Brandon Crawford 8 SS
Blake Sabol 9 C
Alex Cobb – SP


Batting Order Position
Edouard Julien 1 2B
Alex Kirilloff 2 1B
Carlos Correa 3 SS
Byron Buxton 4 DH
Joey Gallo 5 RF
Trevor Larnach 6 RF
Kyle Farmer 7 SS
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray – SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 23-24 SU / OU 22-23 / Runline 22-25
Minnesota Twins: 25-23 SU / OU 20-24 / Runline 26-22

On a record of 23-24, the Giants are 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are six games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 8-13 while going 15-11 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 6-8.

  • The Giants have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
  • The Giants have been favored in 46.8% of their games and have runline records of 13-13 and 9-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 22-23.

Against the Giants, the Twins are looking to shake a two two-game losing streak. Yet, their record of 25-23 is stil good for 1st in the AL Central. At home, Minnesota has gone 14-9 and 11-14 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 7-7.

  • The Twins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.8.
  • The Twins have been favored in 64.6% of their games and have runline records of 12-11 and 14-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 20-24.

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Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alex Cobb 9 9 51 3-1 1.94 1.35 3


Alex Cobb has an overall record of 3-1, and will get the start for the Giants. With nine appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.94, while his K/9 figure is 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.15 and an OBP of .318.

In his last appearance against the Phillies, Alex Cobb gave up two runs on five hits while pitching 3 1/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Cobb helped the Giants secure a 4-3 victory.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 9 9 49 4-0 1.64 1.16 0


Coming in with a record of 4-0, Sonny Gray will get the start for the Twins. Through nine appearances, he has an ERA of 1.64 and batting average allowed of .210. Opponents have walked 19 times vs. Gray along with 60 strikeouts. Gray’s WHIP stands at 1.16 with a SLG allowed of .282.

In Sonny Gray’s last game, he threw four innings for the Twins. While allowing two runs on five hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Dodgers with a score of 7-3.

Giants vs. Twins Offense Outlook

This season, the Giants have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 66 home runs in total (6th). Currently, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .239. The team’s slugging percentage is .379 at home and .416 on the road.

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Thairo Estrada .295 5 .484 .358
J.D. Davis .303 7 .545 .400
LaMonte Wade Jr. .268 6 .495 .417
Blake Sabol .299 5 .532 .379
Mike Yastrzemski .286 4 .532 .372


San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
J.D. Davis .383 4 3 1 .700
Mitch Haniger .500 5 4 0 .562
Thairo Estrada .312 5 3 0 .375
Michael Conforto .167 2 2 1 .416
Casey Schmitt .200 4 1 0 .200


This season, the Twins have emerged as one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 64 home runs (7th). In addition, they have maintained an average of 4.6 runs per game, while their collective batting average stands at .230. Their slugging percentage at home is .435 compared to .356 on the road.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Byron Buxton .252 8 .529 .384
Carlos Correa .203 4 .376 .282
Trevor Larnach .226 4 .400 .319
Jose Miranda .204 2 .296 .249
Michael A. Taylor .253 4 .434 .312


Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Joey Gallo .100 2 3 2 .400
Willi Castro .300 6 2 1 .500
Carlos Correa .300 5 1 0 .400
Alex Kirilloff .350 5 1 1 .600
Byron Buxton .146 2 3 1 .396


Free MLB Pick

I don’t feel that there is much of an edge with the Twins starter Sonny Gray over Alex Cobb. The current form metric though definitely goes to the Giants who have won six of their last seven games. They do have a negative road record of 8-13, but after a disaterous 3-10 they are 5-3 in theri last eight. Take San Francisco +128

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