San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Total Pick 4/17/23

San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Monday, April 17th, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Giants +110/Marlins -129 (Did you know that bettingn odds are cheaper at BetanySports Sportsbook?)

Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Giants on Monday, April 17th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

	ML	RL	Total
	+110	+1.5	O 7.5 (-107)
	-129	-1.5	U 7.5 (-114)

Giants vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Thairo Estrada	1	2B
Wilmer Flores	2	3B
Michael Conforto	3	LF
J.D. Davis	4	3B
Mike Yastrzemski	5	CF
David Villar	6	3B
Brandon Crawford	7	SS
Heliot Ramos	8	CF
Joey Bart	9	C
Logan Webb	–	SP

	Batting Order	Position
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	1	CF
Garrett Cooper	2	1B
Luis Arraez	3	2B
Bryan De La Cruz	4	CF
Jorge Soler	5	RF
Avisaíl García	6	RF
Jean Segura	7	SS
Nick Fortes	8	C
Jon Berti	9	3B
Jesús Luzardo	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 5-9 SU / OU 9-5 / Runline 5-9
Miami Marlins: 8-8 SU / OU 6-9 / Runline 6-10

Heading into their game vs. the Marlins, the Giants have a record of 5-9 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 1-3. At home, they have gone 2-4 and 3-5 on the road.

• The Giants have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.4.
• The Giants have been favored in 35.7% of their games and have runline records of 2-4 and 3-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 64% of the Giants’ 14 games at 9-5.

The Marlins head into today’s game vs. the Giants with an overall record of 8-8. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 3-3 and 5-5, respectively. Miami’s overall series record sits at 2-2.

• The Marlins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.6.
• The Marlins have been favored in 37.5% of their games and have runline records of 3-7 and 3-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 6-9.

Pitching Matchup

The Giants will turn to starter Logan Webb who has an overall record of 0-3. Through three appearances his ERA stands at 4.76 with a K/9 figure of 1.3. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.36 to go along with an OBP of .300.

The last time Logan Webb took the mound, the Giants fell to the Dodgers by a score of 9-1. Individually, Webb took the loss while giving up four runs across six innings of work.

Jesús Luzardo has an overall record of 2-0, and will get the start for the Marlins. With three appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.93, while his K/9 figure is 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.04 and an OBP of .297.

A quality start and a win were added to Jesús Luzardo’s record in his previous outing against the Phillies. The Marlins went on to win by a score of 8-4. Luzardo allowed three runs and eight hits during six innings.

Giants vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

Up to this point in the season, the Giants have emerged as one of the premier home run-hitting teams in baseball, accumulating 25 home runs (4th). On the whole, San Francisco averages 4.9 runs per game and boasts a cumulative batting average of .247. In home games, the Giants have a slugging percentage of .366, as opposed to .446 in away games.

San Francisco Giants Team Hitting Stats

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Marlins have played 16 games so far this season and are currently ranked 30th in the league with an average of 3.1 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Miami is 16th, having hit the ball out of the park 16 times. Their overall batting average is .246, including .235 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Bats

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Giants have been struggling lately with a three-game losing streak, but they’ve been making up for it with their offense, scoring five or more runs in their last four games. However, their pitching has been a bit of a weak point, giving up seven or more runs in each of their losses. Logan Webb, the Giants’ starting pitcher for today, has decent historical numbers against the Marlins, but his performances so far this season have been underwhelming, allowing four runs in all three of his starts.

On the other hand, the Marlins are putting Lefty Jesus Luzardo on the mound, who also has respectable historical numbers against the Giants’ lineup. The only thing is, he hasn’t faced the team since 2020.

Taking a closer look at the bullpens, it’s evident that they’ll play a critical role in this game. The Giants’ bullpen has been allowing an average of 6.33 runs per nine innings, which is concerning. Meanwhile, the Marlins’ bullpen has been performing better, allowing an average of 4.85 runs.

Given these factors, I believe that the over on the 7.5 total runs is the recommended wager for this game. Bet your baseball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 by making the switch to a better bookie! —> Bovada Sportsbook! They have the best live betting platform that BLOWS AWAY the rest! You also get rebates on every bet!