San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick 7/17/23

by | Last updated Jul 17, 2023 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Monday, July 17th, 7:10 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Giants -157/Reds +131 (Get a 75% bonus when you use BTC at Bovada!)
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Giants on Monday, July 17th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SF -157 -1.5 O 10 (-112)
CIN +131 +1.5 U 10 (-109)

Giants vs. Reds Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Austin Slater 1 CF
Luis Matos 2 CF
Michael Conforto 3 LF
J.D. Davis 4 3B
Patrick Bailey 5 C
LaMonte Wade Jr. 6 1B
Blake Sabol 7 C
Casey Schmitt 8 3B
Brett Wisely 9 2B
Logan Webb SP

 

Batting Order Position
TJ Friedl 1 CF
Matt McLain 2 SS
Jonathan India 3 2B
Elly De La Cruz 4 SS
Jake Fraley 5 LF
Joey Votto 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 1B
Tyler Stephenson 8 C
Will Benson 9 LF
Brandon Williamson SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 52-41 SU / OU 43-47 / Runline 48-45
Cincinnati Reds: 50-44 SU / OU 53-41 / Runline 58-36

On a record of 52-41, the Giants are 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Reds, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 26-19 while going 26-22 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 14-14-1.

 

  • The Giants have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Giants have been favored in 51.6% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 25-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 43-47.

Heading into their game vs. the Giants, the Reds have a record of 50-44 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 15-11-3. At home, they have gone 23-24 and 27-20 on the road.

 

  • The Reds have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Reds have been favored in 26.6% of their games and have runline records of 27-20 and 31-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Reds’ 94 games at 53-41.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Logan Webb 19 19 126 8-7 3.14 1.11 13

 

San Francisco starter Logan Webb enters with an overall record of 8-7 and ERA of 3.14. His ERA on the road is 4.57 and 2.05 when pitching at home. Webb’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.11 with a batting average allowed of .241. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .366 against him.

Logan Webb is coming off an outing in which he threw nine scoreless innings on seven hits. Riding Webb’s strong performance, the Giants took down the Rockies by a score of 1-0.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Brandon Williamson 10 10 46 1-2 5.21 1.35 8

 

With an overall record of 1-2, Brandon Williamson gets the start for Cincinnati. His ERA stands at 5.21 with a K/9 figure of 0.8 after making 10 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.17 and an OBP of .314.

Brandon Williamson is coming off a short outing, throwing three innings while giving up zero runs on one hit. Williamson took a no-decision in the Reds’ 5-4 win over the Nationals.

Giants vs. Reds Offense Outlook

At 4.7 runs per game, San Francisco is ranked 11th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 107 times so far. The team’s batting average of .247 places them 15th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 14th compared to 19th at home.

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Thairo Estrada .278 3 .414 .329
J.D. Davis .286 7 .490 .361
LaMonte Wade Jr. .291 4 .411 .381
Michael Conforto .289 9 .526 .388
Mike Yastrzemski .237 8 .500 .348

 

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Michael Conforto .447 9 2 1 .637
J.D. Davis .100 2 3 1 .250
Patrick Bailey .190 3 2 0 .340
Austin Slater .312 3 2 1 .750
Mike Yastrzemski .050 1 2 1 .200

 

With 94 games under their belt, the Reds are ranked 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Cincinnati has gone deep 99 times, ranking them 17th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .253, .253 on the road, and .241 at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Jonathan India .230 10 .375 .295
Spencer Steer .246 7 .402 .324
Jake Fraley .279 11 .479 .364
TJ Friedl .277 5 .418 .334
Tyler Stephenson .221 7 .344 .292

 

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Joey Votto .167 3 1 1 .433
Matt McLain .320 7 2 0 .420
Jake Fraley .167 3 2 1 .383
Will Benson .167 3 1 1 .417
Elly De La Cruz .130 3 2 0 .130

 

Free MLB Pick

The suddenly hot San Francisco Giants take on the suddenly cold Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ballpark Monday where SF will feature Logan Webb and the Reds will throw lefty Brandon Williamson. At time of print, the bookies have the Giants as -154 favorites. Get our SFG/Cin pick here!

Pick: SF Giants -154. The Reds bats have gone ice cold. They’ve scored 0, 0, 0 and 3 runs over their last four games. Needless to say, they lost all four contests. The Giants have been playing good baseball, winners of their last five games. San Fran will throw Logan Webb. Webb has been an above average pitcher this season and a serviceable starter over the past three years. This play is almost entirely predicated Cincy not scoring runs lately.

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