San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins Moneyline Pick

San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Thursday, May 11th, 1:10 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Padres -119/Twins +101 (Deposit $100 and get $50 FREE at the web’s best live betting site!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Padres on Thursday, May 11th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Padres vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 19-18 SU / OU 13-22 / Runline 19-18
Minnesota Twins: 20-17 SU / OU 14-19 / Runline 20-17

With an overall record of 19-18, the Padres are in 3rd place in the NL West, trailing by 3.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Padres have a mark of 9-7 while going 10-11 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 4-5.

• The Padres have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
• The Padres have been favored in 62.2% of their games and have runline records of 9-12 and 10-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 13-22.

Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 20-17, including going 9-10 on the road and 11-7 at home. Their series record stands at 5-5.

• The Twins have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Twins have been favored in 70.3% of their games and have runline records of 9-9 and 11-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 14-19.

Pitching Matchup

Yu Darvish is scheduled to get the start for San Diego and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in two consecutive games.For the season, he has an ERA of 3.19 and 2-2 record of. With a total of 40 strikeouts Darvish enters with a WHIP of 1.12 and WOBA allowed of .295. In terms of walks, he has issued 13 free passes.

Yu Darvish finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Padres took down the Dodgers by final score of 5-2. Darvish gave up two runs and four hits across 6 2/3 innings.

The Twins are turning to Bailey Ober against the Padres. So far, he has made three appearances and has put together a record of .98. Having not given up a home-run, Ober has a ERA of .98 and OPS of .445. When looking at his walk numbers, he has issued six free passes and has an OBP allowed of .235. Ober enters with a strikeout total of 16.

A quality start and a win were added to Bailey Ober’s record in his previous outing against the Guardians. The Twins went on to win by a score of 2-0. Ober allowed zero runs and three hits during seven innings.

Padres vs. Twins Offense Outlook

After 37 games, the Padres are ranked 24th in the league with an average of 4.2 runs per game. San Diego ranks 16th in home runs (41) while their overall batting average is .231. On the road, they have a BA of .203 and .244 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Bats

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

This season, the Twins are ranked 22nd in the league with an average of 4.2 runs per game. Minnesota is ranked 9th in home runs, with a total of 46 long balls. Their overall batting average is .220, including .191 on the road and .240 at home.

Minnesota Twins Team Hitting Stats

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Neither squad is giving the scorekeeper a workout in recent games so the Under may be a solid play. However, I like the side better. Minnesota stater Bailey Ober has been ultra-sharp in his three starts this season putting up better numbers than Padres starter Yu Darvish. So, getting the home team at plus money seems like a prudent bet. Take Minnesota +109. Be sure to check out the rest of our free MLB picks!