San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Predictions

by | Last updated Jun 30, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Friday, June 30th, 5:10 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: BSOH
Money Line: Padres -144/Reds +118 (Bet for cheaper at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 10.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Padres on Friday, June 30th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -144 -1.5 O 10.5 (-122)
CIN +118 +1.5 U 10.5 (-106)

Padres vs. Reds Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1 RF
Juan Soto 2 RF
Manny Machado 3 3B
Xander Bogaerts 4 SS
Jake Cronenworth 5 2B
Gary Sánchez 6 C
Matt Carpenter 7 DH
Ha-Seong Kim 8 SS
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Seth Lugo SP

 

Batting Order Position
TJ Friedl 1 CF
Matt McLain 2 SS
Jonathan India 3 2B
Elly De La Cruz 4 SS
Jake Fraley 5 LF
Joey Votto 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 1B
Tyler Stephenson 8 C
Will Benson 9 RF
Graham Ashcraft SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 37-44 SU / OU 29-47 / Runline 36-45
Cincinnati Reds: 43-38 SU / OU 47-34 / Runline 51-30

Heading into their game vs. the Reds, the Padres have a record of 37-44 and have dropped five straight games. In the NL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 9-12-4. At home, they have gone 20-22 and 17-22 on the road.

 

  • The Padres have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Padres have been favored in 74.1% of their games and have runline records of 18-24 and 18-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 29-47.

The Reds take on the Padres in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 43-38. So far, they are 22-18 on the road and 21-20 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record stands at 12-10-3.

 

  • The Reds have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
  • The Reds have been favored in 23.5% of their games and have runline records of 25-16 and 26-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 58% of the Reds’ 81 games at 47-34.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Seth Lugo 10 10 51 3-4 4.01 1.32 6

 

Across 10 appearances, Seth Lugo has a slugging percentage allowed of .459 and enters with a WHIP of 1.32. His overall record is 3-4 on an ERA of 4.01. For the season, he has a total of 47 K’s, and is averaging 0.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Lugo’s record on the road is 1-2 and 2-2 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.30 (road) and 7.61 (home), respectively.

Lugo is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs and seven hits in five innings of action. San Diego lost the game by a score of 8-3 to the Nationals.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Graham Ashcraft 14 14 69 3-6 7.17 1.67 12

 

Cincinnati starter Graham Ashcraft enters with an overall record of 3-6 and ERA of 7.17. His ERA on the road is 5.14 and 13.28 when pitching at home. Ashcraft’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.67 with a batting average allowed of .292. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .488 against him.

The last time, Ashcraft took the mound, he lasted four innings, as the Reds fell to the Braves (7-6). Individually, Ashcraft gave up 10 hits leading to six earned runs.

Padres vs. Reds Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.2 runs per game, San Diego is 17th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 95 home runs, putting them 12th in the league. Their current batting average of .233 is 19th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 27th, compared to 23rd when playing at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Juan Soto .289 8 .533 .409
Xander Bogaerts .238 3 .350 .305
Ha-Seong Kim .280 5 .449 .360
Fernando Tatis Jr. .230 6 .415 .313
Manny Machado .230 4 .402 .285

 

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ha-Seong Kim .320 6 2 2 .787
Trent Grisham .167 3 2 1 .383
Xander Bogaerts .267 5 1 0 .317
Juan Soto .207 3 0 0 .207
Brandon Dixon .556 3 2 0 1.000

 

With and average of 5.0 runs per game, Cincinnati is 7th in the league so far this year. They have hit 82 home runs which is currently 18th in baseball. Their current batting average of .257 is ranked 9th in the league, while they have a .253 batting average on the road and .252 batting average at home.

Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Reds 81 5.0 (7th) 82 (18th) .257 (9th) .335 (4th) .335 (4th)

 

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt McLain .373 9 5 3 .933
TJ Friedl .320 7 7 2 .590
Spencer Steer .400 7 2 2 .800
Will Benson .387 5 4 1 1.107
Elly De La Cruz .133 3 3 0 .133

 

Free MLB Pick

The total line for this game is a massive 11 runs and while Ashcraft has been atrocious, one of his best outings came back i may against the Padres. Speaking of San Diego, the Padres haven’t really been struggling offensively, but they haven’t been lighting it up scoring four or fewer runs in eight of their last 10 games. Seth Lugo gets the ball for the visitor and he like Ashcraft has a solid start under his belt this season against today’s opponent. He’s alo fared well on the road this season with a 3.21 ERA and 1.18 ERA in five starts. Take the Under 11. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at the web’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook! Simply register for an account at Everygame Sportsbook through this specical link. Then, make your deposit. Then go to their special offers page (before you place your first bet) and enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your account balance will magically double! The ultimate bankroll booster!

MLB Betting Guide

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