San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Pick for 4/25/23
Date: Tuesday, April 25th, 7:40 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Padres +106/Cubs -124
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Padres on Tuesday, April 25th at Wrigley Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
+106 | -1.5 | O 8 (-116.0) | |
-124 | +1.5 | U 8 (-105.0) |
Padres vs. Cubs Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Xander Bogaerts | 1 | SS |
Manny Machado | 2 | 3B |
Juan Soto | 3 | RF |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 4 | SS |
Nelson Cruz | 5 | DH |
Jake Cronenworth | 6 | 2B |
Ha-Seong Kim | 7 | SS |
Austin Nola | 8 | C |
Trent Grisham | 9 | CF |
Blake Snell | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner | 1 | SS |
Dansby Swanson | 2 | SS |
Ian Happ | 3 | LF |
Seiya Suzuki | 4 | RF |
Trey Mancini | 5 | 1B |
Patrick Wisdom | 6 | 3B |
Cody Bellinger | 7 | CF |
Yan Gomes | 8 | C |
Nick Madrigal | 9 | 2B |
Justin Steele | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
San Diego Padres: 12-12 SU / OU 11-12 / Runline 11-13
Chicago Cubs: 12-9 SU / OU 12-9 / Runline 13-8
On a record of 12-12, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are one game out of the division lead. Against the Cubs, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 7-4 while going 5-8 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 1-3.
- The Padres have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
- The Padres have been favored in 62.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-9 and 7-4 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 11-12.
Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Cubs have a record of 12-9 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 4-1. At home, they have gone 6-7 and 6-2 on the road.
- The Cubs have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.9.
- The Cubs have been favored in 52.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-7 and 7-1 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 57% of the Cubs’ 21 games at 12-9.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Snell | 4 | 4 | 18 | 0-3 | 6.00 | 1.89 | 4 |
The Padres will turn to starter Blake Snell who has an overall record of 0-3. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 6.00 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.04 to go along with an OBP of .395.
Having allowed two runs on three hits in five innings against the Braves, Blake Snell is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Padres.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Justin Steele | 4 | 4 | 25 | 3-0 | 1.44 | .88 | 2 |
Justin Steele has an overall record of 3-0, and will get the start for the Cubs. With four appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.44, while his K/9 figure is 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.52 and an OBP of .247.
Justin Steele finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Cubs took down the Athletics by final score of 12-2. Steele gave up two runs and four hits across six innings.
Padres vs. Cubs Offense Outlook
The Padres have played 24 games so far and have an average of 3.8 runs per game, putting them 23rd in the league. San Diego has hit 27 home runs, ranking them 11th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .216, while hitting .204 on the road and .219 at home.
San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Manny Machado | .333 | 0 | .400 | .346 |
Nelson Cruz | .276 | 1 | .483 | .337 |
Ha-Seong Kim | .269 | 1 | .500 | .366 |
Xander Bogaerts | .194 | 1 | .290 | .232 |
José Azocar | .227 | 0 | .318 | .236 |
San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Carpenter | .500 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.533 |
Xander Bogaerts | .217 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .433 |
Jake Cronenworth | .317 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .650 |
Juan Soto | .267 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .417 |
Trent Grisham | .133 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .267 |
The Cubs are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 28 home runs (10th). Overall, they are averaging 5.8 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .277. The team’s slugging percentage is .483 on the road and .393 at home.
Chicago Cubs Top Hitters vs. Lefties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Wisdom | .400 | 4 | 1.100 | .621 |
Nico Hoerner | .412 | 0 | .471 | .422 |
Dansby Swanson | .400 | 0 | .400 | .397 |
Yan Gomes | .312 | 1 | .500 | .371 |
Seiya Suzuki | .556 | 0 | .556 | .533 |
Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Bellinger | .300 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .850 |
Nico Hoerner | .400 | 10 | 4 | 2 | .680 |
Patrick Wisdom | .180 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .440 |
Ian Happ | .312 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .500 |
Trey Mancini | .220 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .390 |
Free MLB Pick
Sure, Blake Snell’s last two starts have been going in the right direction, but I certainly wouldn’t declare that he is nearing top form. In his last two innings, he has allowed six runs (five earned) on nine hits and eight walks.
The same can’t be said about Cubs starter Justin Steele who is a perfect four-for-four in quality starts this season with a brilliant 1.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. He has one lifetime start against San Diego, and it was a good one pitching seven innings, allowing one run on six hits.
The Padres come in hot, taking four of their last five mainly on the backs of their offense. I don’t expect them to have much success against Steele. Take the Cubs -124
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