San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Pick for 4/25/23

by | Last updated Apr 25, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
Date: Tuesday, April 25th, 7:40 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Padres +106/Cubs -124
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Padres on Tuesday, April 25th at Wrigley Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+106 -1.5 O 8 (-116.0)
-124 +1.5 U 8 (-105.0)

Padres vs. Cubs Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Xander Bogaerts 1 SS
Manny Machado 2 3B
Juan Soto 3 RF
Fernando Tatis Jr. 4 SS
Nelson Cruz 5 DH
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Ha-Seong Kim 7 SS
Austin Nola 8 C
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Blake Snell SP


Batting Order Position
Nico Hoerner 1 SS
Dansby Swanson 2 SS
Ian Happ 3 LF
Seiya Suzuki 4 RF
Trey Mancini 5 1B
Patrick Wisdom 6 3B
Cody Bellinger 7 CF
Yan Gomes 8 C
Nick Madrigal 9 2B
Justin Steele SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 12-12 SU / OU 11-12 / Runline 11-13
Chicago Cubs: 12-9 SU / OU 12-9 / Runline 13-8

On a record of 12-12, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are one game out of the division lead. Against the Cubs, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 7-4 while going 5-8 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 1-3.

  • The Padres have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
  • The Padres have been favored in 62.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-9 and 7-4 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 11-12.

Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Cubs have a record of 12-9 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 4-1. At home, they have gone 6-7 and 6-2 on the road.

  • The Cubs have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.9.
  • The Cubs have been favored in 52.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-7 and 7-1 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 57% of the Cubs’ 21 games at 12-9.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Blake Snell 4 4 18 0-3 6.00 1.89 4


The Padres will turn to starter Blake Snell who has an overall record of 0-3. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 6.00 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.04 to go along with an OBP of .395.

Having allowed two runs on three hits in five innings against the Braves, Blake Snell is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Padres.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Justin Steele 4 4 25 3-0 1.44 .88 2


Justin Steele has an overall record of 3-0, and will get the start for the Cubs. With four appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.44, while his K/9 figure is 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.52 and an OBP of .247.

Justin Steele finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Cubs took down the Athletics by final score of 12-2. Steele gave up two runs and four hits across six innings.

Padres vs. Cubs Offense Outlook

The Padres have played 24 games so far and have an average of 3.8 runs per game, putting them 23rd in the league. San Diego has hit 27 home runs, ranking them 11th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .216, while hitting .204 on the road and .219 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Manny Machado .333 0 .400 .346
Nelson Cruz .276 1 .483 .337
Ha-Seong Kim .269 1 .500 .366
Xander Bogaerts .194 1 .290 .232
José Azocar .227 0 .318 .236


San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Carpenter .500 5 3 2 1.533
Xander Bogaerts .217 4 5 1 .433
Jake Cronenworth .317 5 3 0 .650
Juan Soto .267 5 5 1 .417
Trent Grisham .133 2 0 0 .267


The Cubs are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 28 home runs (10th). Overall, they are averaging 5.8 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .277. The team’s slugging percentage is .483 on the road and .393 at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Patrick Wisdom .400 4 1.100 .621
Nico Hoerner .412 0 .471 .422
Dansby Swanson .400 0 .400 .397
Yan Gomes .312 1 .500 .371
Seiya Suzuki .556 0 .556 .533


Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Cody Bellinger .300 5 6 2 .850
Nico Hoerner .400 10 4 2 .680
Patrick Wisdom .180 4 3 1 .440
Ian Happ .312 4 4 0 .500
Trey Mancini .220 5 2 1 .390


Free MLB Pick

Sure, Blake Snell’s last two starts have been going in the right direction, but I certainly wouldn’t declare that he is nearing top form. In his last two innings, he has allowed six runs (five earned) on nine hits and eight walks.
The same can’t be said about Cubs starter Justin Steele who is a perfect four-for-four in quality starts this season with a brilliant 1.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. He has one lifetime start against San Diego, and it was a good one pitching seven innings, allowing one run on six hits.
The Padres come in hot, taking four of their last five mainly on the backs of their offense. I don’t expect them to have much success against Steele. Take the Cubs -124

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