Royals vs. Twins Odds, Analysis, Free Picks 5/29/24

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Wednesday, May 29th, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSKC
Money Line: Royals +112/Twins -132
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Royals on Wednesday, May 29th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:40 PM ET, the Twins and Royals will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -132. The money line odds for a Royals win are at +112, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

BSKC will be televising this one, and Seth Lugo is starting for the Royals, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober.

Royals vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Kansas City Royals: 34-22 SU / OU 23-31 / Runline 36-20
Minnesota Twins: 30-24 SU / OU 24-28 / Runline 26-28

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Royals series. Minnesota went into the matchup as +115 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Royals could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Byron Buxton and Manuel Margot were the only two Twins hitters to have more than one hit. Buxton, Carlos Santana, and Jose Miranda each had two RBIs for Minnesota’s offense.

Simeon Woods Richardson pitched well for the Twins in this one, going five innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Jhoan Duran got the save.

Royals Records & Recent Play

Kansas City is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Twins. Overall, the Royals are 34-22, putting them 3.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 11-7 in divisional games.

At home, the Royals have been tough to beat, going 21-8 this year. On the road, they are just below .500 at 13-14. As the underdog, the Royals have an overall record of 16-15 this year, and they are 18-7 as the favorite. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-7, and they have won three straight series.

The Royals have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 36-20 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 20-9 on the run line. On the road, they are 16-11 on the run line, but they have failed to cover in their last game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 21-10 on the run line.

The Kansas City Royals are on the road against the Minnesota Twins today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season. The Royals have played in 43 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 23-31.

Twins Records & Recent Play

With a record of 30-24, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 6.5 games. Minnesota has taken the first two games of their series vs. the Royals, who are 2nd in the AL Central, 3.5 games behind the Guardians. So far, the Twins have gone 14-10 in divisional matchups this year.

Minnesota has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10. At home, the Twins have gone 15-12 this season, which matches their 15-12 record on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 24-12 this year, and they are 6-12 as the underdog. So far, they have put together a series record of 9-6-2, and they have won two straight series.

The Twins have been a solid run line team this season, going 26-28 overall. They have been better on the road, going 15-12 compared to 11-16 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 9-9 compared to 17-19 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Kansas City Royals today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 24-28. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-6. So far, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 61.1% of their games, while only 8 games have had lower lines, making up 14.8% of their games.

Pitching Matchup

Seth Lugo has been dominant on the road this season, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 0.74. Overall, he is 8-1 with a 1.74 ERA. Lugo has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Lugo has won each of his last three starts. The right-hander has only allowed six homers this season. One key to his success has been his control, as he is giving up just 1.87 walks per nine innings.

Twins starter Bailey Ober has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 4.33. Opponents are batting .220 off the right-hander this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.04. Ober has turned in four quality starts this year and is averaging 9.35 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Ober has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.62 compared to 12.28 on the road.

Royals vs. Twins Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 6th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Currently, the Royals have four hitters with at least six home runs.

Over his last seven games, Bobby Witt Jr. has been on fire, going 11/31 with four homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .303 and has driven in 36 runs. Salvador Perez has also been a big run producer for the Royals, as his 39 RBIs are good for 8th in the league. He is also batting .322 and has gone deep nine times.

Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game this season, which is 11th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Twins are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and their team isolated power of .164 is 4th in the MLB. So far, they have been a below-average hitting team, with a team batting average of just .233.

Ryan Jeffers has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 10 home runs are 8th in the league. Jeffers also leads the Twins with 33 RBIs. Over his last eight games, he is hitting .276 with two homers. Alex Kirilloff has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/15 in his last six games.

Free Royals vs. Twins MLB Pick

The Twins have won a couple in a row, and I see them picking up another win over the Royals today. Baily Ober has some good advanced stats heading into this one, with his hard-hit percentage sitting at just 36.7%, and his xwOBA is also good compared to other starters. I like the Twins on the money line for Wednesday’s AL Central matchup.