Rockies vs. Mets Side & Total Picks

Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
Date: Sunday, May 7th, 1:40 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Rockies +177/Mets -211
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Rockies on Sunday, May 7th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Rockies vs. Mets Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Charlie Blackmon	1	RF
Jurickson Profar	2	LF
Kris Bryant	3	LF
C.J. Cron	4	1B
Elias Díaz	5	C
Ryan McMahon	6	3B
Randal Grichuk	7	RF
Alan Trejo	8	2B
Ezequiel Tovar	9	SS
Ryan Feltner	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Brandon Nimmo	1	CF
Starling Marte	2	CF
Francisco Lindor	3	SS
Pete Alonso	4	1B
Jeff McNeil	5	2B
Daniel Vogelbach	6	1B
Brett Baty	7	3B
Luis Guillorme	8	3B
Francisco Alvarez	9	C
Joey Lucchesi	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Colorado Rockies: 13-21 SU / OU 14-20 / Runline 15-19
New York Mets: 17-17 SU / OU 14-19 / Runline 15-19

The Rockies head into today’s game vs. the Mets with an overall record of 13-21. This mark has them sitting 5th in the NL West. Currently, they are seven games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 6-12 and 7-9, respectively. Colorado’s overall series record sits at 2-6.

• The Rockies have covered the runline in six straight games and have a season-long run margin of -1.2.
• The Rockies have been favored in 20.6% of their games and have runline records of 5-11 and 10-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Rockies have an over/under record of just 14-20.

For the season, the Mets have put together a record of 17-17, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL East standings, they are 2nd, trailing by six games. This year, they have gone 7-7 at home and 10-10 on the road with an overall series mark of 5-4.

• The Mets have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
• The Mets have been favored in 70.6% of their games and have runline records of 6-8 and 9-11 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 14-19.

Pitching Matchup




Starter Ryan Feltner comes in with an overall record of 2-2 for the Rockies. Having made six appearances, his ERA is 4.45 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.72 and an OBP of .336.

Ryan Feltner is coming off an outing against the Brewers in which he gave up two runs and six hits across 5 1/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Rockies won by a score of 3-2.




The Mets will turn to starter Joey Lucchesi who has an overall record of 1-0. Through three appearances his ERA stands at 3.86 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.89 to go along with an OBP of .281.

In his last appearance, Joey Lucchesi lasted four innings in the Mets’ 6-5 loss to the Tigers. Individually, Lucchesi finished with a no-decision while giving up four runs on five hits.

Rockies vs. Mets Offense Outlook

After 34 games, the Rockies are ranked 22nd in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. Colorado ranks 26th in home runs (27) while their overall batting average is .254. On the road, they have a BA of .214 and .289 at home.

Colorado Rockies Top Hitters On The Road




Colorado Rockies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Mets have played 35 games so far and have an average of 4.2 runs per game, putting them 16th in the league. New York has hit 35 home runs, ranking them 19th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .236, while hitting .219 on the road and .226 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats




New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

This game presents another classic hot versus not matchup. The Rockies have won five out of their last six games and have been performing well on both offense and defense. They have scored five or more runs in four of their games while allowing two or fewer runs in four games as well. On the other hand, the Mets have been struggling, losing four of their last five games. Their offense has been particularly worrisome, having scored just four runs in their past four games.
In terms of starting pitching, I believe that the Rockies have the edge in this game. Ryan Feltner has been in excellent form, going 2-0 with a 1.06 WHIP and 1.06 ERA in his last three starts. While Joey Lucchesi, the Mets’ projected starter, has good past numbers against the Rockies’ current roster, his last two starts have been mediocre.
Given the Rockies’ recent form and the potential advantage they have on the mound, I believe that taking the Rockies at +180 represents a great value play.
Additionally, I also like the Under in this game. Both starting pitchers and bullpens are capable of keeping the offenses in check, which could result in a low-scoring game.
In summary, considering the Rockies’ hot form and the potential edge they have in starting pitching, I recommend taking the Rockies at +180, and also taking the Under 9 at -120.