Rockies vs. Braves Runline Pick 6/18/23
Date: Sunday, June 18th, 1:35 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Rockies +253/Braves -315
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Rockies on Sunday, June 18th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
COL | +253 | +1.5 | O 9.5 (-103) |
ATL | -315 | -1.5 | U 9.5 (-119) |
Rockies vs. Braves Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Jurickson Profar | 1 | LF |
Ezequiel Tovar | 2 | SS |
Ryan McMahon | 3 | 3B |
Elias Díaz | 4 | C |
Nolan Jones | 5 | 3B |
Randal Grichuk | 6 | RF |
Mike Moustakas | 7 | 3B |
Harold Castro | 8 | 2B |
Brenton Doyle | 9 | CF |
Chase Anderson | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 1 | RF |
Ozzie Albies | 2 | 2B |
Austin Riley | 3 | 3B |
Sean Murphy | 4 | C |
Matt Olson | 5 | 1B |
Marcell Ozuna | 6 | DH |
Eddie Rosario | 7 | LF |
Orlando Arcia | 8 | 2B |
Michael Harris II | 9 | CF |
Charlie Morton | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Colorado Rockies: 29-44 SU / OU 31-42 / Runline 34-39
Atlanta Braves: 45-26 SU / OU 40-27 / Runline 34-37
If the Rockies are going to climb out of last place in the NL West, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Braves. Heading into the game, the Rockies have lost four straight games and stand with an overall record of 29-44. On the road, the Rockies are 13-25 and 16-19 at home. The team’s overall series record is 9-11-2.
- The Rockies have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.2.
- The Rockies have been favored in 12.3% of their games and have runline records of 16-19 and 18-20 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Rockies have an over/under record of just 31-42.
The Braves take on the Rockies in the middle of a five game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 45-26. So far, they are 22-11 on the road and 23-15 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 15-5-2.
- The Braves have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.3.
- The Braves have been favored in 85.9% of their games and have runline records of 15-23 and 19-14 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 60% of the Braves’ 71 games at 40-27.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Anderson | 8 | 6 | 36 | 0-0 | 2.73 | 1.05 | 6 |
As Chase Anderson gets the start, he has already made eight appearances and has a record of 0-0. He’s allowed a batting average of .222 and has an ERA of 2.73. Furthermore, he’s given up six home runs and has an OPS of .664.
In his last appearance against the Red Sox, Chase Anderson gave up three runs on five hits while pitching 4 1/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Anderson helped the Rockies secure a 7-6 victory.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charlie Morton | 13 | 13 | 75 | 5-6 | 3.60 | 1.44 | 8 |
Across 13 appearances, Charlie Morton has a slugging percentage allowed of .404 and enters with a WHIP of 1.44. His overall record is 5-6 on an ERA of 3.60. For the season, he has a total of 85 K’s, and is averaging 1.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Morton’s record on the road is 3-3 and 2-3 at home. This includes an ERA of 2.88 (road) and 4.96 (home), respectively.
In his last appearance, Charlie Morton lasted 5 2/3 innings in the Braves’ 6-5 loss to the Tigers. Individually, Morton finished with a no-decision while giving up zero runs on four hits.
Rockies vs. Braves Offense Outlook
In terms of offensive production Colorado is currently ranked 14th in the league this season. The team has hit 59 home runs, which is 18th, and their batting average of .255 is ranked 9th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 21st in batting average, compared to 2nd when playing at home.
Colorado Rockies Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Elias Díaz | .329 | 6 | .512 | .383 |
Ryan McMahon | .277 | 8 | .520 | .377 |
Ezequiel Tovar | .247 | 3 | .379 | .289 |
Charlie Blackmon | .272 | 5 | .463 | .345 |
Jurickson Profar | .230 | 5 | .372 | .298 |
Colorado Rockies Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elias Díaz | .313 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .583 |
Ezequiel Tovar | .350 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .567 |
Ryan McMahon | .438 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .688 |
Brenton Doyle | .237 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .287 |
Nolan Jones | .300 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .350 |
For the season, the Braves are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 122 home runs (1st). So far, Atlanta is averaging 5.4 runs per game with a collective batting average of .266. When playing at home, the Braves have a slugging percentage of .453 compared to .460 at home.
Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves | 72 | 5.4 (4th) | 122 (1st) | .266 (2nd) | .336 (2nd) | .336 (2nd) |
Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | .231 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .530 |
Ozzie Albies | .358 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .667 |
Orlando Arcia | .417 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .583 |
Michael Harris II | .444 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .736 |
Eddie Rosario | .333 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .933 |
Free MLB Pick
The Atlanta Braves have won five straight games and are 12-2 in their last 14 games. They’re on a five-game winning streak and haven’t scored less than six runs in any of those contests.
The Colorado Rockies have lost four straight games and are 3-10 in their last 13 contests. The Rocks haven’t scored more than three runs in any single game during their four game losing streak. In the first two games of this series, they only scored one run and two runs.
I’m betting the Braves runline at -1.5 (-150).
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