Reds vs. Phillies MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

by | Last updated Apr 13, 2023 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Thursday, April 13th, 6:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: BSOH
Money Line: Phillies -101/Reds -118 (Did you know odds are cheaper at BAS Sportsbook? Why pay more for the very same odds? It makes no sense! Switch today to start saving loot!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Phillies on Thursday, April 13th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-101 -1.5 O 8.5 (-118)
-118 +1.5 U 8.5 (-103)

Phillies vs. Reds Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Trea Turner 1 SS
Kyle Schwarber 2 LF
J.T. Realmuto 3 C
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
Alec Bohm 5 3B
Josh Harrison 6 2B
Edmundo Sosa 7 SS
Bryson Stott 8 2B
Cristian Pache 9 CF
Bailey Falter RP

 

Batting Order Position
Jonathan India 1 2B
Spencer Steer 2 3B
Wil Myers 3 LF
Tyler Stephenson 4 C
Kevin Newman 5 SS
Stuart Fairchild 6 RF
TJ Friedl 7 LF
Jose Barrero 8 SS
Curt Casali 9 C
Nick Lodolo SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 4-8 SU / OU 6-6 / Runline 4-8
Cincinnati Reds: 4-7 SU / OU 7-4 / Runline 8-3

Heading into their game vs. the Reds, the Phillies have a record of 4-8 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 1-2. At home, they have gone 3-3 and 1-5 on the road.

The betting favorite in exactly half of their 12 games, Philadelphia holds a 4-8 record against the runline. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team’s over/under record stands at 6-6.

If the Reds are going to climb out of last place in the NL Central, they will need to turn things arond with a win over the Phillies. Heading into the game, the Reds have lost three straight games and stand with an overall record of 4-7. On the road, the Reds are 1-5 and 3-2 at home. The team’s overall series record is 1-1.

Cincinnati currently has an above .500 record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored three times in 11 games. The team has an over/under record of 7-4, with an average betting line of 9.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bailey Falter 2 2 10 0-1 2.61 1.06 2

 

Starter Bailey Falter comes in with an overall record of 0-1 for the Phillies. Having made two appearances, his ERA is 2.61 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.5. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.91 and an OBP of .275.

Bailey Falter is coming off an outing against the Reds in which he gave up one run and four hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Phillies won by a score of 3-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Nick Lodolo 2 2 12 1-0 1.50 1.17 0

 

Nick Lodolo has an overall record of 1-0, and will get the start for the Reds. With two appearances, his ERA currently stands at 1.50, while his K/9 figure is 1.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of .86 and an OBP of .275.

Nick Lodolo delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching seven innings and allowing zero runs. Despite his efforts, the Reds fell to the Phillies by a score of 3-2.

Phillies vs. Reds Offense Outlook

Philadelphia heads into the game ranked just 23rd in home runs having gone deep 11 times. The team’s collective batting average sits at .282, which is 4th in the league. In term of OPS, they are 11th in baseball on the road and 8th at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryson Stott .444 0 .444 .414
Alec Bohm .375 1 .625 .444
Edmundo Sosa .385 1 .692 .478
Brandon Marsh .444 1 1.111 .642
Nick Castellanos .400 0 .400 .457

 

At 4.5 runs per game, Cincinnati is ranked 24th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 12 times so far. The team’s batting average of .242 places them 18th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 22nd compared to 10th at home.

Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Reds 11 4.5 (24th) 12 (20th) .242 (18th) .328 (13th) .328 (13th)

 

Free MLB Pick

The Phillies Bradley Fault has looked really solid this season in his two starts including one last week at home against the Reds. The Reds starter Nick Lodolo looked fabulous in the same game, pitching seven scoreless innings, striking out 12 and getting the no-decision in Cincinnati’s 3-2 loss. I prefer his experience and back numbers against the Phillies .184 BA in 49 AB and they’re at home laying a small number. Take Cincinnati -115. Take advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 from the web’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM on their “Special Offers” page after you’ve made your deposit and before you place your first bet! Free bets are good bets! Find this killer offer at Everygame Sportsbook! In business since the 1980’s and online since the late nineties!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!