Red Sox vs. Yankees Moneyline Pick for 7/7/24

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Date: Sunday, July 7th, 7:10 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Red Sox +131/Yankees -154
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Red Sox on Sunday, July 7th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Red Sox and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. The forecast for Sunday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET, and ESPN is carrying TV coverage for the game.

The Yankees are 55-36 and are 2nd in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the division with a record of 48-40. New York is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Luis Gil is the Yankees’ starter, and the Red Sox are going with Kutter Crawford.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 48-40 SU / OU 43-39 / Runline 41-47
New York Yankees: 55-36 SU / OU 48-40 / Runline 49-42

New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring seven of their fourteen runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their final run in the 5th and were held in check the rest of the way.

Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out eight. Tim Hill came out of the bullpen and got the win. Josh Winckowski only went 3 2/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Ben Rice was the Yankees’ top performer at the plate, going 3/5 with three homers and seven RBIs. Both Alex Verdugo and DJ LeMahieu each had two hits for New York’s offense.

Red Sox Records & Recent Play

Boston is 48-40 overall and 7.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the AL East standings. The Red Sox are 12-11 in division games this year. So far, they are 28-17 on the road compared to 20-23 at home.

The Red Sox have won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 13-10-5 this year. As the road underdog, Boston is 15-14 this year, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. At home, the Red Sox have gone 26-18 as the favorite this year.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 26-19. Their average run differential on the road is +1.3, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-18 against the run line. Their overall run line record is 41-47, and they have an average run differential of +0.4 runs per game.

Today’s game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees has an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have played in 24 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record in those games is 16-11. Overall, Boston’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 43-39.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 55-36 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York will host the Red Sox today, and they are 13-15 in divisional games this season. So far, they are 25-18 at home and 30-18 on the road.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 43-30 this season, and they are 24-16 as the favorite at home. New York’s overall series record is 17-8-3, but they have dropped four straight series at home. The Yankees are also just 3-7 across their last ten games overall.

When the Yankees win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. They are 49-42 against the run line this season, including 21-22 at home. As the favorite, they are 35-38 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are a strong 14-4. Their overall run differential is +1.1 runs per game.

When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Yankees games this season is 48-40, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 24-15. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 22.0% of their games.

Pitching Matchup

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 3.47 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents are batting .217 this season. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Marlins. Before that, he had allowed at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Crawford has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Red Sox and comes into the game with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 3.41. Out of his 17 starts, Gil has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 7.57 compared to 3.7 on the road.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the MLB, and they are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 19 homers are 8th in the league and the most on the team. Devers is also batting .287 for the season and has 53 RBIs, which is 15th in the MLB. Over his last eight games, Devers has gone 9/30 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going deep three times in his last eight games, but he is batting just .189 over that stretch.

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Yankees are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge is batting .312 for the season and has gone 12/36 with two homers over his last nine games. Soto is batting .295 and is on a three-game hitting streak.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top team in terms of drawing walks. As a team, they are 2nd in on-base percentage and have the league’s 3rd best OPS. New York is also near the top of the league in isolated power.

Free Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Pick

The Yankees are coming into this one as the favorite on the money line, but I actually like the Red Sox to come out on top. Lui Gil hasn’t pitched a full five innings since mid-June and has given up 7,5 and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. I like Boston on the money line.