Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Stats, Analysis, Free Pick

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Sunday, July 21st, 7:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Red Sox +100/Dodgers -119
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Red Sox on Sunday, July 21st at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Both the Red Sox and Dodgers are looking to pick up a win on Sunday, as Boston has lost two straight and the Dodgers are on a two-game winning streak. The Red Sox are +100 on the money line compared to the Dodgers at -119. This interleague matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 80s.

James Paxton is starting for the Dodgers, and he will be facing off against Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Paxton has struggled this season, as he is 1-1 with a 6.64 ERA, while Crawford has a 1.50 ERA in two starts.

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 53-44 SU / OU 45-46 / Runline 46-51
Los Angeles Dodgers: 58-41 SU / OU 51-48 / Runline 48-51

It was a wild finish to the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Red Sox series. Los Angeles had a late lead but Boston rallied in the 9th and 10th innings to pick up a 6-5 win. The Dodgers had a chance to tie or win the game in the 11th, but Justin Wrobleski gave up the winning run for Los Angeles.

Wrobleski only went 4 1/3 innings for the Dodgers and didn’t give up a run, but he did finish with just five strikeouts and issued two walks. On the other side, Brayan Bello pitched well for the Red Sox, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run.

At the plate, the Dodgers were led by Enrique Hernandez and Gavin Lux, who each had two hits and a home run. Hernandez, Freddie Freeman, and Andy Pages each had two RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.

Red Sox Records & Recent Play

Boston is on the road for today’s game vs. the Dodgers, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which has them at 53-44 overall. The Red Sox are 6.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 13-11 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Red Sox are 24-25 this year, and they have gone 29-19 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 30-19 this year and 23-25 as the underdog. Looking at how they have done in series, the Red Sox have an overall record of 16-10-5 and have won four straight series overall and four straight on the road.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run differential of +1.2 runs per game, and their run line record is 28-20. They have been the underdog in 20 of those games, and they have covered the run line in 14 of those games. In their 48 games as the favorite, they have gone 18-30 against the run line.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Boston Red Sox-Los Angeles Dodgers game is slightly higher than the combined run average of 8.9 runs per game for the two teams. Boston has a 45-46 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Red Sox are 6-4-2. This season, 19.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 68.0% of their games having lower lines.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Dodgers are 58-41 overall and lead the NL West by seven games over the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Red Sox and are 18-15 in divisional matchups this year.

Los Angeles has been good at home this year, putting together a record of 30-19. On the road, they are 28-22 this year. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 55-34 and 3-7 as the underdog. The team’s overall record is 18-14-1 in series this year, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Dodgers win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 48-51, and they are 22-27 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 44-45 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 4-6.

The Dodgers are at home today against the Red Sox, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is also 9.0 runs per game. Los Angeles has played 99 games this season, and their over/under record is 51-48. The average over/under line for Dodgers games this season is 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 8-6. So far this season, 17.2% of Dodgers games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 68.7% of their games have had lines set below 9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Kutter Crawford has been pitching well for the Red Sox, as he has won his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Royals and didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has made 19 starts and has a record of 6-7. His ERA for the season is 3.04, along with a WHIP of 1.04. Opposing batters are hitting .210 this season off Crawford. The right-hander has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.79 strikeouts per nine innings.

Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 4.38. Paxton’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and he has issued 4.7 walks per nine innings compared to 6.08 strikeouts. Paxton has turned in six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He has not won a game since June 24th.

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 8th ranked home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s best BABIP at .32. Boston’s team batting average is .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Jarren Duran has been on fire for the Red Sox, going 13/28 in his last seven games with a home run. For the season, he is batting .289 with 11 homers. Rafael Devers is also having a strong season, as he is 5th in the league with 23 homers and has a team-high 61 RBIs. However, he is just 6/26 in his last seven games. Tyler O’Neill has two homers in his last six games and is batting .263 for the season.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers’ offense this season, as he is batting .315 with 29 home runs and 69 RBIs. Ohtani is also coming off a stretch in which he has gone 11/36 (.306) with a homer over his last nine games. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 8th in the league with 19 homers and is batting .263 for the season.

Enrique Hernandez and Freddie Freeman have both been struggling at the plate of late, with Hernandez going 3/17 and Freeman just 7/33 over their last seven and nine games, respectively. However, Gavin Lux has gone 7/23 in his last nine games. Austin Barnes and Teoscar Hernandez are currently on long hitting streaks for the Dodgers.

Free Red Sox vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

Kutter Crawford will be looking to pick up where he left off before the All-Star Break, as gave up just one earned run in July so far through 20 innings and three starts. As for James Paxton, he hasn’t gone six innings since the beginning of June. I am going with the Red Sox on the money line on Sunday.