Rangers vs. Brewers Pick & Predictions 6/25/24

by | Last updated Jun 25, 2024 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Tuesday, June 25th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSSW

Money Line: Rangers +105/Brewers -124

Total Line: 8.5

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Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Rangers on Tuesday, June 25th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TEX +105 +1.5 O 8.5 (-122)
MIL -124 -1.5 U 8.5 (101)

The Rangers and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the slight favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -124. The Rangers are +105 on the money line, and they will be looking for a win to move above .500, as they are 37-41. Texas is 3rd in the AL West, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central.

Andrew Heaney is starting for the Rangers, and he is facing off against Bryse Wilson for the Brewers. Milwaukee comes into the game on a two-game winning streak.

Rangers vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Josh Smith 3 DH
Adolis García 4 RF
Nathaniel Lowe 5 1B
Wyatt Langford 6 LF
Jonah Heim 7 C
Ezequiel Duran 8 3B
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Andrew Heaney SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Joey Ortiz 1 3B
William Contreras 2 C
Christian Yelich 3 LF
Willy Adames 4 SS
Rhys Hoskins 5 1B
Gary Sánchez 6 DH
Blake Perkins 7 CF
Jackson Chourio 8 RF
Brice Turang 9 2B
Bryse Wilson SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 37-41 SU / OU 29-46 / Runline 36-42
Milwaukee Brewers: 46-33 SU / OU 43-33 / Runline 41-38

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Rangers series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as -176 favorites and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Rangers and struck out six times, but still picked up a win.

Rhys Hoskins and Sal Frelick each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense. Adolis Garcia did the most damage for the Rangers, going 2/4 with a home run.

Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Jacob Latz took the loss for the Rangers, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas is 37-41 overall and 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by 6.5 games. So far, they are just 9-14 against other AL West teams. The Rangers are on the road today, where they are 17-22 this season compared to 20-19 at home.

As the road underdog, the Rangers have gone 11-16 this year and are 23-19 as the favorite. Texas’ overall series record is 11-13-1, and they are coming into today’s game having lost four straight on the road. They dropped the first game of this series vs. the Brewers and are just 4-6 across their last ten games.

When the Rangers are on the road, they have a run line record of 17-22. Their average run margin in all games is -0.1, but it is slightly worse on the road at -0.7. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight road games.

When the Texas Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the team’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the Rangers have an over/under record of 29-46, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 9-17. For the season, 34.6% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, while 32.1% have had lower lines.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 46-33, the Brewers lead the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have taken the first game of their series vs. the Rangers and have an 18-9 record in the division. Milwaukee’s overall winning streak is at two games, and they have won three straight at home.

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As the home favorite, the Brewers have gone 18-7 this season, and they are 23-12 overall at home. On the road, Milwaukee is 23-21 compared to their 23-12 mark at home. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a record of 26-15. Coming into today’s game, the Brewers are 15-8-2 in series this year.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.5 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 41-38 against the run line this season. They’ve been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 25-19, compared to 16-19 at home. They’ve been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 25-13, compared to 16-25 as a favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been an over machine this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 43-33, and they have hit the over in five straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Texas Rangers is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8 runs per game.

Pitching Matchup

Texas is sending left-hander Andrew Heaney to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 2-8 with a 4.21 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.29 and has allowed a total of 11 home runs. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Heaney’s lone win in his last five outings came on June 2nd vs. the Marlins. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.79 strikeouts and 2.48 walks.

Bryse Wilson is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Padres, as he gets the start for the Brewers vs. the Rangers today. Against the Padres, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and two homers. Wilson finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had picked up the win out of the bullpen vs. the Reds, going 5 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Wilson’s ERA for the season is 4.24, along with a record of 4-3. Opponents are batting .236 vs. Wilson this season.

Rangers vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are tied for the team lead with 14 homers this season, with Garcia batting just .218 and Seager at .255. Garcia is also 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs, while Seager is 3rd with 36. Marcus Semien is the team’s top run producer, as he is 15th in the league with 44 RBIs and has gone deep 11 times this season.

Both Josh Smith and Wyatt Langford have been swinging the bat well of late, with Smith hitting 3 homers in his last eight games while batting .350 and Langford has gone 12/37 in his last 10 games, also hitting two homers. Langford is also on a six-game hitting streak.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras hitting nine homers and Adames leading the team with 13 long balls. Adames is also 6th in the league with 54 RBIs. However, Adames is hitting just .244 this season, while Contreras comes in with a batting average of .293. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, as he is 2nd on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .224.

Brice Turang has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 12/39 in his last nine games with two homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him score six runs over that stretch. Willy Adames has also homered twice in his last nine games while going 8/32.

Free Rangers vs. Brewers MLB Pick

Milwaukee is continuing to turn to Bryse Wilson, even though his ERA over his last 7 outings is at 5.82, and he was hammered for five runs and three homers in his last outing. Wilson gave the Brewers some good outings earlier in the year, but it looks like he is starting to fade, as he was initially slotted into a bullpen role to start the year. Look for Texas’ offense to break out tonight. I like the Rangers on the money line.

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