Rangers at Mariners: Joe Jensen’s Bold MLB Prediction

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, September 14th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Rangers +116/Mariners -137
Total Line: 6.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Rangers on Saturday, September 14th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Rangers and Mariners facing off in an AL West matchup. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET, and RSNW is carrying the TV coverage for this one.

Seattle is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Rangers at +116. The over/under line is currently 6.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup is Max Scherzer for the Rangers and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners. Texas is currently 3rd in the AL West, while the Mariners are 2nd.

Rangers vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 71-77 SU / OU 68-75 / Runline 62-86
Seattle Mariners: 75-73 SU / OU 68-71 / Runline 63-85

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mariners vs Rangers series. Seattle went into the matchup as +118 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Mariners had a huge 8th inning, scoring three runs to take the lead, and they didn’t score another run after that. As for the Rangers, they scored one run in the 5th inning and added their final run in the 7th.

Emerson Hancock got the start for the Mariners, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. JT Chargois got the win out of the bullpen, and Andrés Muñoz got the save. Jacob deGrom only went 3 2/3 innings for the Rangers, giving up four hits and striking out four.

Julio Rodríguez was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered, scored three times, and drove in three runs. Luke Raley also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. As for the Rangers, Wyatt Langford hit a home run and drove in three runs, while Nathaniel Lowe went 3/4 with two RBIs.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas is 71-77 overall and 8.5 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 20-21 in divisional games. The Rangers are on the road today, and they are 30-43 as the road team.

As the favorite, the Rangers have gone 47-34 this year, and they are 24-43 as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 20-25-1, and they are 6-4 across their last ten games. This includes splitting the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners.

When the Rangers win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game, and their run line record is 62-86. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 35-32, compared to 27-54 as the favorite. They are 31-44 on the run line at home and 31-42 on the run line on the road.

The Texas Rangers are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 68-75. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. The over/under record for games with a line of 6.5 runs is 1-0. The over has hit in three straight games for Texas.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is 75-73 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL West, 4.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners are 23-18 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have been good at home, going 43-30, compared to 32-43 on the road.

The Mariners have dropped two straight, and this season, they are 54-47 as the favorite and 21-26 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 19-23-4, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

Seattle is 63-85 against the run line this season, including a 31-42 mark at home. The Mariners have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season, and they have a +0.6 run margin in home games. Seattle is 40-61 against the run line as the favorite, and 23-24 as the underdog.

The Seattle Mariners will host the Texas Rangers tonight, and the over/under line is set at 6.5 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.9, and their over/under record is 68-71. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 6.5 runs, their record is 5-4. Overall, 92.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 6.5 runs, with only 1.4% having lower lines. The over has hit in their last two games.

Pitching Matchup

Max Scherzer gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made a total of eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 3.89. Scherzer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had pitched at least six innings in three straight starts. Scherzer has given up a homer in three of his last four outings.

Seattle is starting right-hander Logan Gilbert vs. the Rangers today, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-11 and an ERA of 3.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Gilbert has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .189 this year. Gilbert has turned in 22 quality starts and is averaging 9.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up two earned runs in eight innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Gilbert has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.48 compared to 5.25 on the road.

Rangers vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

For the season, the Rangers are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 16th in the league, and have the 18th most home runs in the league. Texas has been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Corey Seager has been the Rangers’ best hitter this season, batting .278 with 30 home runs and 74 RBIs. Marcus Semien has also been a good power threat, with 21 homers and a batting average of .238. Over his last six games, Semien has gone 7/26 with three homers and six RBIs. Nathaniel Lowe has also been hot of late, going 9/19 in his last six games.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they do have the 14th most home runs in the league and are 4th in the league in walks.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ best power threat this season, as his 30 home runs are 1st on the team and 12th in the league. He also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 10/35 in his last nine games with two homers. Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have also been swinging the bat well of late, with both players hitting over .300 in their last nine games.

Free Rangers vs. Mariners MLB Pick

Logan Gilbert has been bouncing back and forth between good and bad starts while Max Scherzer is set to return the mound, but is said to be on a pitch count of just 60 pitches. The way I’m playing this one is to take advantage of the low over/under line of just 6.5 runs. For tonight’s game, I’m hammering the over.