Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Moneyline Pick

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Friday, June 23rd, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Pirates +149/Marlins -177 (Change the way you bet sports forever by learning about reduced juice sports betting!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Pirates on Friday, June 23rd at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Pirates vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Pittsburgh Pirates: 34-40 SU / OU 37-35 / Runline 34-40
Miami Marlins: 43-33 SU / OU 35-38 / Runline 37-39

Heading into their game vs. the Marlins, the Pirates have a record of 34-40 and have dropped 10 straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 9-13-2. At home, they have gone 18-19 and 16-21 on the road.

• The Pirates have six straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
• The Pirates have been favored in 25.7% of their games and have runline records of 15-22 and 19-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 51% of the Pirates’ 74 games at 37-35.

The Marlins head into today’s game vs. the Pirates with an overall record of 43-33. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are six games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 20-18 and 23-15, respectively. Miami’s overall series record sits at 13-11.

• The Marlins have covered the runline in 48.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Marlins have been favored in 46.1% of their games and have runline records of 17-21 and 20-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 35-38.

Pitching Matchup

Pittsburgh starter Luis L. Ortiz enters with an overall record of 1-3 and ERA of 4.30. His ERA on the road is 5.77 and 3.51 when pitching at home. Ortiz’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.73 with a batting average allowed of .290. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .471 against him.

Luis L. Ortiz finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Brewers. He allowed one run on four hits over 4 2/3 innings. The Pirates went on to lose the game by a score of 5-2.

Jesús Luzardo heads into the game with an overall record of 6-5 and an ERA of 4.09. In his seven appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 5.88 and record of 4-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-2 and ERA of 3.29. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.25, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .252. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .442.

Jesús Luzardo finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Marlins took down the Nationals by final score of 4-2. Luzardo gave up two runs and five hits across six innings.

Pirates vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

Through 74 games the Pirates are 22nd in the league at 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Pittsburgh is 19th having gone deep 69 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .239, including .232 on the road and .230 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters On The Road

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Marlins have played 76 games and currently hold the 21st spot in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. With 70 home runs, Miami is 18th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .244 on the road and .267 at home, is .260.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Pittsburgh Pirates have fallen off a cliff, losing ten games in a row, and have been swept in three straight series. Their hitting numbers are as paltry as you’ll ever see over a seven-day stretch, with a .144 batting average, .239 on base percentage, and .242 slugging percentage. PIrate hitters are striking out almost nine times a game over this span. All these numbers add up to the worst in the league over the past week.

The Pirates will feature 24-year-old righty Luis Ortiz, who has pitched poorly in six of his eight appearances this season. His season whip is 1.73, which means he’s almost allowing two baserunners per inning. It’s tough to win when you’re pitching from behind. Most of this is due to his lack of command and inability to miss bats. He walks a ton of hitters and doesn’t strike many out. Men on base and not missing bats produce runs scored.

The Miami Marlins are 6-2 over their last eight games and are in a comfort zone after being able to sleep in their own beds for the last five nights. Second baseman Luis Arraez is off the rails right now, hitting .577 over the past seven days. This has propelled the Fish to own the best batting average in the league over the past week at .305.

The Marlins will feature left-hander Jesus Luzardo, who hasn’t pitched great lately, but considering the opponent’s stagnant offense and the Marlins’ hot hitting, I’m not overly concerned. Luzardo has a respectable 3.04 ERA at home this season and he pitches much better in night games for whatever reason. It’s comforting to know that the Pirates will be missing all-star outfielder Brian Reynolds, and if the coaching staff decides to play mega-power bat Jack Suwinski, he’s on an 0-18 skid and doesn’t hit left-handed pitching at all. Plus, Luzardo is tough on left-handed bats. Lay the big number on Miami. 

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