Phillies vs. Mariners Betting Preview and Money Line Pick – August 3rd

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, August 3rd, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Phillies +109/Mariners -129
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Phillies on Saturday, August 3rd at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

First pitch for Saturday’s Phillies vs. Mariners interleague matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA. The Phillies are 65-44 and they are starting Orion Kerkering, while the Mariners are 58-53 and they have Bryce Miller on the mound.

Seattle is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -129 compared to the Phillies at +109. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on NSPPH.

Phillies vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 65-44 SU / OU 50-54 / Runline 53-56
Seattle Mariners: 58-53 SU / OU 48-58 / Runline 50-61

Seattle cruised to a 10-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -114.

Bryan Woo pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Phillips got the loss for the Phillies, going just 1 2/3 innings and giving up eight runs.

Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Victor Robles, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner also hit the game’s only home run.

Phillies Records & Recent Play

Philadelphia is on the road for today’s game vs. the Mariners, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Mariners. The Phillies lead the NL East by five games over the Braves and have an overall record of 65-44. So far, they are 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.

Overall, the Phillies have gone 38-21 at home compared to 27-23 on the road. As the underdog, the Phillies have an 8-9 record this year, and they are 57-35 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-13-5 but have dropped five straight series.

When the Phillies are on the road, they are 25-25 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3, and they have lost their last two run line bets on the road. As the underdog, they are 8-9 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9, while in losing games, it is -3.6.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 50-54. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-11. So far this season, 31 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.4% of their games.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle will host the Phillies today with an overall record of 58-53, which has them tied with the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners are 5.5 games ahead of the Rangers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 19-13 in AL West matchups.

At home, the Mariners are 32-23 this season, and they are just above .500 at 26-30 on the road. This season, the Mariners have been the favorite in 72 of their games, and they have gone 39-33 in those matchups. As the underdog, Seattle is 19-20 this year, and their overall series record is 15-18-2. One notable mark for the Mariners is that they have dropped five straight series at home.

Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 50-61 against the run line. They have been slightly better at home, going 24-31. Their average run differential this season is +0.3 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.5 runs per game at home. When they win, they win by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game.

The Mariners are playing at home today against the Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 48-58. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mariners have gone over the total 11 times and under 3 times. Only 9.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Orion Kerkering gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Kerkering has made 41 appearances this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Out of his 41 appearances, Kerkering has made 20 on the road, where he is 2-0 with a 5.4 ERA. At home, his record is 0-2 with a 1.71 ERA. Kerkering’s most recent outing came on July 30th, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in one inning of work out of the bullpen. Before that, he had three straight appearances with no decisions and no earned runs allowed.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.03 and opponents are batting .212 this season. Miller’s last outing came vs. the White Sox, where he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had gone seven innings without giving up a run. So far, he has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings.

Phillies vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

Philadelphia has been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league this season and is also near the top of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game (8th) and have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 4th in the league.

Both Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are among the league leaders in home runs this season, with Schwarber having 22 and Harper at 24. Schwarber comes into the game with a team-leading on-base percentage of .378 and is 3rd on the team with 63 RBIs. Alec Bohm is also having a strong season, hitting .297 with 11 homers and 73 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 6/20 in his last five games.

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 23 home runs are the best on the Mariners and 10th in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a team-high 67 RBIs. However, Raleigh is batting just .214 this season, and his 67 strikeouts are the most in the league. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 for the Mariners, and his 11 homers are 4th on the team.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per game. Seattle’s team batting average is just .219, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Free Phillies vs. Mariners MLB Pick

Both Bryce Miller and Orion Kerkering are in their 2nd seasons in the majors, but Miller has a lot more experience as a starter. So far this season, Kerkering has made 41 appearances but just one start. As for Miller, he has been throwing the ball well for the Mariners of late. In July, he is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in addition to two no-decisions. Even though the Mariners’ overall offensive numbers aren’t pretty, they’ve scored 10 runs in two of the past three games, and they’ve scored more than six runs in six of their past seven games. I like Seattle on the money line tonight.