Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick for 9/2/23
Date: Saturday, September 2nd, 7:15 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Phillies -130/Brewers +110
Total Line: 9
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Phillies on Saturday, September 2nd at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | -130 | -1.5 | O 9 (-105) |
| MIL | +110 | +1.5 | U 9 (-115) |
Phillies vs. Brewers Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 1 | DH |
| Trea Turner | 2 | SS |
| Bryce Harper | 3 | 1B |
| Nick Castellanos | 4 | RF |
| Bryson Stott | 5 | 2B |
| Alec Bohm | 6 | 3B |
| J.T. Realmuto | 7 | C |
| Brandon Marsh | 8 | CF |
| Jake Cave | 9 | LF |
| Aaron Nola | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 1 | LF |
| William Contreras | 2 | C |
| Carlos Santana | 3 | 1B |
| Sal Frelick | 4 | CF |
| Willy Adames | 5 | SS |
| Mark Canha | 6 | DH |
| Andruw Monasterio | 7 | 3B |
| Brice Turang | 8 | 2B |
| Tyrone Taylor | 9 | RF |
| Colin Rea | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 74-60 SU / OU 60-65 / Runline 59-75
Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Phillies have a record of 74-60 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 24-16-3. At home, they have gone 41-26 and 33-34 on the road.
- The Phillies have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
- The Phillies have been favored in 69.4% of their games and have runline records of 29-38 and 30-37 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 60-65.
The Brewers head into today’s game in first place in the NL Central on a record of 75-59. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 8-2. At home, Milwaukee is 39-27 and 36-32 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 23-18-2.
- The Brewers have covered the runline in 47.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
- The Brewers have been favored in 51.5% of their games and have runline records of 27-39 and 36-32 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 60-70.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 27 | 27 | 167 | 12-8 | 4.30 | 1.12 | 29 |
Heading into today’s game, Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola has pitched at least six innings in two straight games. For the season, he has an ERA of 4.30 and record of 12-8. His total strikeout figure stands at 174 with a slugging percentage allowed of .411. Currently, Nola has a WHIP of 1.12 and WOBA allowed of .293.
In his last outing, Aaron Nola finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 3-0 victory over the Cardinals. Nola gave up zero runs and one hit across seven innings.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea | 20 | 19 | 100 | 5-5 | 5.11 | 1.27 | 19 |
Entering with a record of 5-5, Colin Rea is making his 21st appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 5.11 on a batting average allowed of .241. On the road, he is 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA and 2-3 at home on an ERA of 6.64. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .441 against him.
After a loss against the Pirates, Colin Rea is coming off a performance where he gave up six runs on eight hits over four innings.
Phillies vs. Brewers Offense Outlook
This season, the Phillies have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 174 home runs in total (9th). Currently, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .260. The team’s slugging percentage is .447 at home and .404 on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | .189 | .333 | .459 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| Trea Turner | .258 | .310 | .441 | 63 | 20 | 23 |
| Nick Castellanos | .275 | .312 | .464 | 83 | 22 | 7 |
Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | .454 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1.642 |
| Bryce Harper | .271 | 4 | 4 | 3 | .958 |
| Alec Bohm | .250 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .667 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .188 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .562 |
| Bryson Stott | .300 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .675 |
With 4.4 runs per game, Milwaukee is ranked 18th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 139 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .235 is 21st in the league. While their home batting average ranks 22nd, they rank 22nd on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | .303 | 14 | .499 | .384 |
| William Contreras | .259 | 6 | .387 | .319 |
| Carlos Santana | .221 | 14 | .406 | .307 |
| Willy Adames | .213 | 17 | .398 | .295 |
| Brice Turang | .223 | 6 | .336 | .277 |
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | .371 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .421 |
| Willy Adames | .188 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .438 |
| Christian Yelich | .233 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .383 |
| Mark Canha | .271 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .458 |
| Carlos Santana | .459 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .459 |
Free MLB Pick
Take Philadelphia -130
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