Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview & Total Prediction

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, April 11th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPP+
Money Line: Marlins +133/Phillies -157
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Marlins on Tuesday, April 11th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Marlins vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	2B
Jorge Soler	2	RF
Garrett Cooper	3	1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	CF
Avisaíl García	5	RF
Jean Segura	6	SS
Bryan De La Cruz	7	CF
Jacob Stallings	8	C
Jon Berti	9	3B
Jesús Luzardo	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Trea Turner	1	SS
Kyle Schwarber	2	LF
J.T. Realmuto	3	C
Nick Castellanos	4	RF
Alec Bohm	5	3B
Josh Harrison	6	2B
Edmundo Sosa	7	SS
Bryson Stott	8	2B
Cristian Pache	9	CF
Aaron Nola	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 4-7 SU / OU 5-5 / Runline 3-8
Philadelphia Phillies: 4-6 SU / OU 5-5 / Runline 4-6

In their 11 games, the Marlins hold a record below .500 at 4-7, placing them 4th in the NL East. They have competed in three different series so far, going 1-2. At home, Miami is 3-4 while going 1-3 on the road.

Being favored three times in 11 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 3-8. The team’s over/under record comes in at 5-5 with an average betting line of 8.

With 10 games under their belt, the Phillies are 3rd in the NL East with a below .500 record (4-6). Through three series, the Phillies have gone 1-2. The Phillies’ have a 3-1 record when playing at home and a 1-5 record on the road.

Philadelphia’s record against the runline, while being favored four times in 10 games, sits at 4-6. The team’s over/under record comes in at 5-5 with an average betting line of 8.

Pitching Matchup




Starter Jesús Luzardo comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Marlins. Having made two appearances, his ERA is .71 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.21 and an OBP of .250.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, Jesús Luzardo did not factor into the decision in the Marlins’ 5-2 win over the Twins. He surrendered one run on five hits across seven innings of work.




Starter Aaron Nola comes in with an overall record of 0-1 for the Phillies. Having made two appearances, his ERA is 7.45 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.81 and an OBP of .341.

Despite Nola’s efforts, the Phillies suffered a defeat in his last outing against the Yankees, with him being charged with the loss. He gave up three runs in six innings of work.

Marlins vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

With 12 home runs hit so far this season (10th), the Marlins are one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 2.7 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .233. The team’s slugging percentage is .354 on the road and .369 at home.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats




Through 10 games, the Phillies have hit 10 home runs and averaging 4.5 runs per game (20th). So far, their batting average sits at .285 which is 2nd in the league. Philadelphia also has a strong OPS of .802.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats




Free MLB Pick

Both pitchers have solid back numbers against today’s opponent with the Phillies lineup having a .208 lifetime batting average against Jesus Luzardo and the Marlins hitting .158 versus Aaron Nola. The Phillies did explode for 15 runs last night on 20 hits, but their offense was more pop-gun style before the game scoring four or fewer runs in seven of their ten games. The Marlins offense has been even worse scoring just 30 runs in 11 games! . Take the UNDER 8 -120.