Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Moneyline Pick 10/9/23

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Monday, October 9th, 6:07 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: TBS
Money Line: Phillies +133/Braves -160
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Phillies on Monday, October 9th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Phillies vs. Braves Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	DH
Trea Turner	2	SS
Alec Bohm	3	3B
Bryce Harper	4	1B
J.T. Realmuto	5	C
Nick Castellanos	6	RF
Bryson Stott	7	2B
Cristian Pache	8	LF
Johan Rojas	9	CF
Zack Wheeler	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Ozzie Albies	2	2B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Matt Olson	4	1B
Marcell Ozuna	5	DH
Eddie Rosario	6	LF
Sean Murphy	7	C
Orlando Arcia	8	SS
Michael Harris II	9	CF
Max Fried	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 75-79 / Runline 74-91
Atlanta Braves: 104-58 SU / OU 92-67 / Runline 84-79

The Phillies head into today’s game vs. the Braves with an overall record of 90-72. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 14 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 41-40 and 49-32, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 29-20-2.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Phillies have been favored in 67.9% of their games and have runline records of 36-47 and 38-44 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 75-79.

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 104-58. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 6-4. At home, Atlanta is 52-29 and 52-29 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 36-12-2.

• The Braves have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.4.
• The Braves have been favored in 91.4% of their games and have runline records of 40-42 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 58% of the Braves’ 162 games at 92-67.

Pitching Matchup




The Phillies will turn to starter Zack Wheeler who has an overall record of 13-6. Through 33 appearances his ERA stands at 3.61 with a K/9 figure of 9.94. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.15 to go along with an OBP of .273.

The last time Zack Wheeler took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 4-1 against the Marlins. Wheeler gave up one run and five hits across 6 2/3 innings.




The Braves will turn to starter Max Fried who has an overall record of 8-1. After 14 appearances, his ERA is 2.55 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.27. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.14 and an OBP of .280.

Max Fried finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Braves took down the Nationals by final score of 10-3. Fried gave up one run and three hits across six innings.

Phillies vs. Braves Offense Outlook

With a total of 220 home runs hit so far, the Phillies have established themselves as one of the leading home run hitting teams in baseball (7th). They are currently averaging 4.9 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .256. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .408 compared to .443 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters On The Road




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




For the season, the Braves are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 307 home runs (1st). So far, Atlanta is averaging 5.8 runs per game with a collective batting average of .276. When playing at home, the Braves have a slugging percentage of .474 compared to .497 at home.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats




Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

This one features another outstanding pitching matchup. Although the Braves were shutout in game one, I expect them to bounce back in game two. On the other side, look for Max Fried to kick of his post-season with a sharp outing. I like the Braves on the moneyline.