Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Game 5 Betting Preview & Free MLB Pick

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Saturday, October 21st, 8:07 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: TBS
Money Line: Phillies -136/Diamondbacks +114
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Phillies on Saturday, October 21st at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	DH
Trea Turner	2	SS
Bryce Harper	3	1B
Alec Bohm	4	3B
Bryson Stott	5	2B
J.T. Realmuto	6	C
Nick Castellanos	7	RF
Brandon Marsh	8	LF
Johan Rojas	9	CF
Zack Wheeler	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Corbin Carroll	1	RF
Ketel Marte	2	2B
Tommy Pham	3	LF
Christian Walker	4	1B
Gabriel Moreno	5	C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6	DH
Alek Thomas	7	CF
Evan Longoria	8	3B
Geraldo Perdomo	9	SS
Zac Gallen	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 80-81 / Runline 79-93
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 76-87 / Runline 95-76

With an overall record of 90-72, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 14 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 41-40 while going 49-32 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 31-20-4.

• The Phillies have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
• The Phillies have been favored in 68.0% of their games and have runline records of 40-47 and 39-46 at home and on the road, respectively
• Through 162 games, the over has hit in half of the Phillies’ games at 80-81.

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 32-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

• The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
• The Diamondbacks have been favored in 43.3% of their games and have runline records of 47-37 and 48-39 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 76-87.

Pitching Matchup




Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler enters with an overall record of 13-6 and ERA of 3.61. His ERA on the road is 3.64 and 4.10 when pitching at home. Wheeler’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.08 with a batting average allowed of .229. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .364 against him.

Wheeler picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up two earned runs and three hits across six innings vs. the Diamondbacks. The Phillies won the game by a score of 5-3.




Across his 37 outings, Zac Gallen has a record of 17-9 and ERA of 3.47. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.12 with an OBP allowed of .278. Gallen’s strikeout to walk ratio is 220/47.

Having allowed five runs on eight hits in five innings against the Phillies, Zac Gallen is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Diamondbacks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

The Phillies have played 173 games this season and currently hold a 8th position in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 220 times, putting Philadelphia 7th in the league. Their batting average stands at .256, including .239 on the road and .259 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, Arizona is ranked 14th in the league in runs scored at 4.6 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 166 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .250 is 10th in the league. On the road, they are 20th in batting average compared to 8th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters vs. Righties




Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Game five is a must-watch, as the series is all tied at 2-2, and features an excellent pitching matchup between Zach Wheeler and Zac Gallen. The oddsmakers are giving the Phillies a slight edge on the moneyline, but I’m taking the D-Backs to take the series lead. I like Arizona on the moneyline.