Padres vs. Rockies Betting Preview: August 17th MLB Prediction

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Date: Saturday, August 17th, 8:10 ET
Location: Coors Field
TV: None
Money Line: Padres -204/Rockies +173
Total Line: 11

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Colorado Rockies and the Padres on Saturday, August 17th at Coors Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

 

   

     

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

     

   

 

	ML	RL	Total
SD	-204	-1.5	O 11 (-109)
COL	+173	+1.5	U 11 (-112)

At 8:10 PM ET, the Padres and Rockies face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver, and the Padres are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -204 compared to the Rockies at +173. The over/under line is currently at 11 runs.

San Diego will be starting Dylan Cease, while Kyle Freeland gets the nod for the Rockies. San Diego is currently 3rd in the NL West, while the Rockies are 5th with a record of 45-78.

Padres vs. Rockies Projected Lineup

 

   

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

 

Player	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	DH
Jurickson Profar	2	LF
Xander Bogaerts	3	2B
Manny Machado	4	3B
Jake Cronenworth	5	1B
Ha-Seong Kim	6	SS
Jackson Merrill	7	CF
Kyle Higashioka	8	C
Bryce Johnson	9	RF
Dylan Cease	–	SP




 

   

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

 

Player	Batting Order	Position
Charlie Blackmon	1	DH
Ezequiel Tovar	2	SS
Brenton Doyle	3	CF
Ryan McMahon	4	3B
Brendan Rodgers	5	2B
Michael Toglia	6	1B
Sam Hilliard	7	LF
Jacob Stallings	8	C
Jake Cave	9	RF
Kyle Freeland	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 69-54 SU / OU 65-57 / Runline 64-59
Colorado Rockies: 45-78 SU / OU 62-58 / Runline 63-60

It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Padres by a score of 7-3. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +139 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cal Quantrill for the Rockies and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Quantrill only went five innings but gave up just three hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Waldron was tagged for two homers and seven runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

San Diego actually got on the board first in this game, scoring two runs in the 2nd inning. The Rockies responded with four runs in the 4th and added three more in the 6th. As for the Padres, they could only muster one more run in the 6th and added their final run in the 7th.

Padres Records & Recent Play

San Diego is 69-54 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres are 19-19 in divisional games this year. The Padres have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games and have been playing well overall, losing the first game of this series.

At home, the Padres are 33-29 this season, and they are 36-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 43-32 this year and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has an overall series record of 25-13-2 and have won eight straight series.

San Diego has been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, going 40-21. The Padres have covered the run line in three straight road games, and their average run margin in those contests is 1.1 runs per game. San Diego’s overall run line record is 64-59, and the average run margin in their wins is 3.7 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line is 11 runs, which is higher than the average over/under line for Padres games this season. In 122 games, only one game has had an over/under line of 11 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-57.

Rockies Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 45-78, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 27 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 14-27. Colorado has won two straight games at home, and they are 28-32 at home this year.

As for how they have fared on the road, the Rockies are just 17-46 this season. Colorado has yet to win a game as the favorite this season, and they are 45-78 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Rockies’ overall series record is 9-27-2, and they are winning the current series vs. the Padres.

When betting on the Rockies’ run line, it’s important to note that they have a losing record against the run line overall, but they have been better at home. Their average run margin is -1.6, but they have a run line record of 33-27 at home compared to 30-33 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of -0.8 in home games.

The Rockies are playing at home against the Padres today. The over/under line for the game is set at 11 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 10.2. Colorado has gone over the total in 62 of their 120 games this season, and their average over/under line is 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 11 runs, the Rockies have a record of 6-6-1. This is the 14th time this season that the over/under line has been set at 11 runs, accounting for 10.6% of their games.

Pitching Matchup

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that start, Cease took the loss, giving up five runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, Cease had won three straight starts. His record for the season is 11-9, and he has an ERA of 3.41. Cease’s WHIP for the season is 1.01. Out of his 25 starts, Cease has made 13 quality starts and has a shutout and complete game to his name this year. Cease’s ERA on the road is 4.53, compared to 3.29 at home.

Through 13 starts, Kyle Freeland has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 5.75. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a homer. In his last outing, Freeland went 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. He has not won a game since July 31st, when he pitched seven innings and gave up just one earned run. Opponents are batting .293 this year off the left-hander. At home, Freeland has an ERA of 3.51 compared to 12.12 on the road.

Padres vs. Rockies Offense Outlook

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are also the top team in the league at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 11th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 19 home runs are the most on the team. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 72. Profar is batting .294 for the season, and his on-base percentage of .393 is the best mark on the team. Luis Arraez has been hot of late, going 12/31 in his last seven games, and is also on a three-game hitting streak.

So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the MLB and are also near the top of the league in terms of their batting average on balls in play. The Rockies have been a home run hitting club, as they have the 14th most home runs in the league.

Heading into today’s game, Brendan Rodgers is on a 10-game hitting streak and has been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .345 with two homers over his last seven games. For the season, he is hitting .272. Brenton Doyle and Michael Toglia are the Rockies’ top home run hitters, with 20 and 19 homers, respectively. Doyle is also the team’s leading run producer, with 60 RBIs.

Free Padres vs. Rockies MLB Pick

Even though this one is being played in the thin air of Colorado, I see Dylan Cease putting together a good game for the Padres and really limiting the Rockies’ offense. Look for this one to stay under the current over/under line of 11 runs.