Padres vs. Rangers Odds, Pick, Predictions

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Wednesday, July 3rd, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Padres +122/Rangers -143
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Padres on Wednesday, July 3rd at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Padres and Rangers is set for 8:05 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. San Diego is 46-43, while the Rangers are 39-46. Jon Gray will start for the Rangers, and the Padres are starting Adam Mazur.

MLBN will be televising Wednesday’s game, and the Rangers are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -143. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the under is paying out at -116 compared to +106 for the over.

Padres vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 46-43 SU / OU 47-41 / Runline 46-43
Texas Rangers: 39-46 SU / OU 33-49 / Runline 40-45

Thanks to a two-home run performance from Nathaniel Lowe, the Rangers cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rangers were at +100 on the money line.

Lowe wasn’t the only Rangers hitter to have a big game, as Leody Taveras went 2/3 with two doubles and two RBIs. Overall, the Rangers lineup only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out eight times.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers and Dylan Cease for the Padres. Eovaldi went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, while Cease was tagged for six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Padres Records & Recent Play

San Diego is 46-43 overall and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Rangers. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are 24-22 this year, and they have gone 22-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 28-25, and they are an even 18-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 16-10-3 and have won three straight series.

The Padres have been a strong bet on the run line this season, posting a 46-43 record. They have been particularly good on the road, going 29-14 ATS. They have covered the run line in two straight road games, and their average run differential on the road is +0.8.

San Diego’s over/under record is 47-41 this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Texas Rangers is set at 9 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged exactly 9 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. San Diego has had just four games with an over/under line of 9 runs this season, and their games have gone under the total in two straight contests.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas is 39-46 overall and trail the Mariners by seven games in the AL West. Overall, they are 9-14 in AL West games. The Rangers have won two straight games, and they have taken the first game of their series vs. the Padres. Texas has an overall series record of 11-15-1 this year.

At home, the Rangers are 21-19 this year and 18-27 on the road. As the home favorite, the Rangers have gone 17-13 this year and 16-26 as the underdog. Texas has won five straight games at home, and their overall record as the favorite is 23-20. So far, they have been just under .500, going 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line on the Texas Rangers, it has been a coin flip this season. The Rangers have a 40-45 run line record, but they have been much better at home, where they are 20-20. Texas has been on a run line heater at home, covering the run line in six straight games. The Rangers have been a better bet as the underdog, going 23-19 against the run line.

When the Texas Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Rangers have gone 33-49 on over/under bets this season, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 6-10. So far this season, only 16.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.

Pitching Matchup

Adam Mazur and the Padres are on the road today to take on the Rangers. Mazur picked up a win in his last outing, going 5 innings and giving up 4 runs on 6 hits. He has started 2 games at home and 1 on the road, and in his first road start, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs.

Jon Gray will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Rangers today. In his most recent start, which came on June 27th vs. the Orioles, Gray took the loss after giving up eight earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Gray has allowed at least one home run in each outing. The right-hander’s record for the season is 3-4, and he has an ERA of 3.77. Opponents are batting .256 off Gray this season. Out of his 14 starts, Gray has six quality starts and is averaging 8.14 strikeouts per nine innings.

Padres vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 8th in home runs and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .261. Not only are they one of the top power-hitting teams in the league, but they also do a great job of putting the ball in play, as they are the league’s 2nd toughest team to strike out. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, as Profar has 11 homers and Tatis Jr. has 14. Profar’s 55 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Over his last five games, Jackson Merrill has gone 8/21 with two homers and four runs scored. For the season, Merrill is batting .291 with 12 homers.

So far this season, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.1 runs per contest and 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .239 and have the 13th most home runs in the league. One area they have been really good in is avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Nathaniel Lowe has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 with four homers over his last six games. He also has 12 RBIs during this stretch. Corey Seager is also on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .260 for the season with 15 homers. Adolis Garcia has gone deep 16 times this season but is batting just .221.

Free Padres vs. Rangers MLB Pick

After picking up a win on Sunday to close out a tough week, the Rangers added another win last night over the Padres. Now, they are hoping that Jon Gray can help them keep things rolling vs rookie Adam Mazure for the Padres. However, even though Mazur hasn’t lit things up so far this year, he has yet to allow a homer, and the Rangers are heavily reliant on the long ball. Also, Jon Gray was wildly inconsistent in the month of June, putting together a few great outings, but he also had starts in which he allowed 9 and 8 runs each. I like San Diego to pull off the upset here tonight, and like them on the money line.