Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Analysis, Expert Pick

by | Last updated May 31, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, May 31st, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Padres -123/Marlins +104
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Padres on Wednesday, May 31st at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD -123 -1.5 O 8.5 (-109)
MIA +104 +1.5 U 8.5 (-111)

Padres vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1 RF
Ha-Seong Kim 2 SS
Juan Soto 3 RF
Xander Bogaerts 4 SS
Nelson Cruz 5 DH
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Brandon Dixon 7 1B
Austin Nola 8 C
José Azocar 9 RF
Blake Snell SP


Batting Order Position
Jon Berti 1 3B
Jorge Soler 2 DH
Luis Arraez 3 2B
Garrett Cooper 4 1B
Bryan De La Cruz 5 CF
Yuli Gurriel 6 1B
Jean Segura 7 SS
Nick Fortes 8 C
Garrett Hampson 9 SS
Braxton Garrett SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 25-29 SU / OU 18-34 / Runline 26-28
Miami Marlins: 28-27 SU / OU 24-28 / Runline 22-33

So far this season, the Padres have an overall record of 25-29, putting them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are eight games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 13-14 and 12-15 at home. The team’s series record is 5-10.

  • The Padres have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
  • The Padres have been favored in 63.0% of their games and have runline records of 11-16 and 15-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 18-34.

So far this season, the Marlins have an overall record of 28-27, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are four games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 14-15 and 14-12 at home. The team’s series record is 9-8.

  • The Marlins have covered the runline in 40.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.8
  • The Marlins have been favored in 43.6% of their games and have runline records of 8-18 and 14-15 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 24-28.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Blake Snell 10 10 50 1-6 5.04 1.56 9


Starter Blake Snell comes in with an overall record of 1-6 for the Padres. Having made 10 appearances, his ERA is 5.04 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.39 and an OBP of .348.

Blake Snell is coming off an outing against the Nationals in which he gave up one run and four hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Padres won by a score of 8-6.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Braxton Garrett 10 9 48 1-2 4.50 1.40 7


Today will be Braxton Garrett’s 11th appearance this season and he has an overall record of 1-2. His current ERA stands at 4.50, and OBP allowed of .330. So far, he struckout 47 batters and has a WHIP of 1.40. On the road, his ERA is 2.63 compared to 8.06 at home.

In his last appearance, Braxton Garrett lasted five innings in the Marlins’ 7-6 loss to the Rockies. Individually, Garrett finished with a no-decision while giving up two runs on six hits.

Padres vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.1 runs per game, San Diego is 24th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 63 home runs, putting them 14th in the league. Their current batting average of .222 is 29th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 30th, compared to 23rd when playing at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Juan Soto .308 6 .593 .444
Xander Bogaerts .228 3 .347 .305
Ha-Seong Kim .267 3 .427 .348
Fernando Tatis Jr. .205 4 .361 .282
Jake Cronenworth .174 3 .348 .307


San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Juan Soto .413 5 5 1 .573
Rougned Odor .180 4 4 2 .490
Fernando Tatis Jr. .180 4 4 2 .420
Trent Grisham .267 4 2 1 .533
Ha-Seong Kim .333 3 5 0 .333


The Marlins have played 55 games and are currently ranked 27th in the league, averaging 3.8 runs per game. Miami ranks 24th in home runs, (54) and have a collective batting average of .259, including .252 on the road and .260 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Jorge Soler .250 .330 .555 35 17 0
Bryan De La Cruz .301 .351 .468 23 7 3
Luis Arraez .376 .432 .462 20 1 1


Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryan De La Cruz .310 7 5 2 .580
Jorge Soler .210 5 4 3 .600
Yuli Gurriel .247 5 2 0 .397
Luis Arraez .454 7 2 0 .454
Nick Fortes .287 5 1 1 .537


Free MLB Pick

San Diego Padres -103. The Padres have the lowest road batting average at .208. The team is 5-8 on the road over last 13 games away from Petco Park. It won’t help them that Cronenworth and Tatis are ice cold, Bogaerts is battling a wrist injury and Machado continues to be out.

The Marlins are on a mini-heater at 3-1 in their last four games. Numerous Marlins hitters are hot right now including Soler, who has hit 4 bombs in the last 7 days. Lastly, Blake Snell’s career ERA is a full point and a half higher in road games and he doesn’t usually pitch well until July.

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