Padres vs. Dodgers Predictions: MLB Picks for September 24th

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Tuesday, September 24th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: None
Money Line: Padres -104/Dodgers -114
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Padres on Tuesday, September 24th at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 10:10 PM ET, the Padres and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -114. The money line odds for a Padres win are currently at -104.

San Diego is currently on a four-game winning streak, and they are 90-66 overall. The Dodgers lead the NL West with a record of 93-63.

Padres vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 90-66 SU / OU 80-72 / Runline 80-76
Los Angeles Dodgers: 93-63 SU / OU 87-65 / Runline 78-78

Padres Records & Recent Play

Jurickson Profar was hot at the plate in the Padres’s most recent game vs. the White Sox, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really broke out the big bats in the 8th inning, scoring three runs in the inning. They were the -346 favorite at home going into the game.

Yu Darvish started for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine White Sox batters. Darvish got the win and was still in the 8th when the Padres’s offense scored their three runs.

San Diego is on a four-game winning streak, and they are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres’ overall record is 90-66 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Dodgers. So far, they are 24-22 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres have gone 45-36 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 45-30. As the favorite, the Padres are 60-42 this season, and they are 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego has won three straight games as the road favorite, and they have an overall series record of 29-15-6 this year.

San Diego has a run line record of 80-76 this season, and they are 47-28 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a run line win streak of 2 games. The Padres are 37-17 against the run line as an underdog this season.

San Diego is on the road against the Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Padres games this season is 8.9 runs, and their overall over/under record is 80-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-15. So far this season, 16.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Rockies, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 6-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -407. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, as the Dodgers scored three runs in the inning. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Shohei Ohtani, who went 4/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto got the start for the Dodgers and took the no decision. He only lasted three innings, giving up four earned runs. Blake Treinen got the win out of the bullpen, and the Dodgers’s closer picked up the save.

Los Angeles is 93-63 overall this year, putting them 1st in the NL West. They currently hold a three-game lead over the Padres for the top spot in the division. The Dodgers have gone 26-20 against other teams in the NL West. The Dodgers are coming off a series win, taking two of three from the Rockies.

At home, the Dodgers are 50-28 this year, and they are 43-35 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in most of their games, going 88-51 in those matchups. Los Angeles has struggled as the underdog this year, going just 5-12. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 30-16-4.

When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. This season, they are 78-78 against the run line, including a 39-39 mark both at home and on the road. They are 71-68 against the run line as the favorite and 7-10 as the underdog. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home tonight against the San Diego Padres, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers and their opponents have combined for an average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 87-65. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 35 of the 60 games. Overall, 49 of the Dodgers’ games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.4% of their games.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. King has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-9 with an ERA of 3.04. So far, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.57 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this season, coming in with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 3.43 compared to 8-4 with a 3.26 ERA on the road.

Right-hander Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres at home. Through 11 starts, he has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 3.39. Looking at his overall numbers, Knack has made 13 appearances and has a WHIP of 1.07. In his 61 innings of work, he has given up a total of 12 home runs. Knack’s most recent outing was a good one, as he didn’t give up a run in five innings of work vs. the Marlins. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.

Padres vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, batting a collective .265. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and slugging percentage. The Padres are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they are 8th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.4 runs per contest.

Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 104 RBIs are 7th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 1st on the team with 29 homers. Over his last eight games, he has three homers and nine RBIs. Luis Arraez is batting .318 this season and has gone deep four times. Fernando Tatis Jr. is on an 11-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last eight games.

Shohei Ohtani has been on fire of late for the Dodgers, hitting six home runs in his last nine games while going 18/38 (.474) with 19 RBIs. Ohtani is 2nd in the league with 123 RBIs and is batting .301 for the season. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, with a batting average of .267 and 31 home runs.

As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top slugging team and have the best isolated power figure in the MLB.

Free Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

The Dodgers pretty much have the top Wild Card spot locked up in the NL, but the Dodgers are battling the Phillies for the top spot in the NL. The Dodgers are the slight favorite heading into the game, but I don’t see Landon Knack pitching very well tonight. My pick is to take the Padres on the money line for Tuesday’s matchup.