Orioles vs. Yankees: AL East Showdown – Expert MLB Picks and Predictions

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Date: Thursday, September 26th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Bal +123/NYY -147 
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Orioles on Thursday, September 26th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:05 PM ET, the Orioles and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is taking place at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -147. Baltimore has won two straight and its record is 88-70. Corbin Burnes will start for the Orioles, while the Yankees are going with Gerrit Cole.

The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MLBN. Gerrit Cole will be on the mound for the Yankees, while the Orioles are starting Corbin Burnes. Cole is 18-7 with a 3.18 ERA, while Burnes is 7-5 with a 3.98 ERA.

Orioles vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 88-70 SU / OU 84-63 / Runline 84-74

New York Yankees: 92-66 SU / OU 83-70 / Runline 82-76

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.

Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen, and Keegan Akin got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.

Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, Colton Cowser, and Anthony Santander each had two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Jordan Westburg also had a two-hit game and scored a run. James McCann also had a two-hit game for Baltimore.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

The Orioles have won two straight games and are 88-70 overall, which has them four games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone 32-19 in divisional games. Baltimore has dropped five straight series, and their overall series record is 24-18-7.

As the road underdog, the Orioles are 14-14 this season and have won two straight as the underdog overall. They are 70-52 as the favorite this year. At home, the Orioles are 44-37 compared to 44-33 on the road. Their overall record is made up of a 44-37 mark at home and a 44-33 record on the road.

Baltimore is 46-31 vs. the run line on the road this season, and is currently on a two-game run line win streak. The Orioles have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game on the road this season, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the New York Yankees today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 84-63. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Orioles have a record of 10-7. Overall, 79.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs this season.

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Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 92-66 overall, putting them four games ahead of the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York has dropped two straight games, with both coming in this series vs. the Orioles. So far, the Yankees are just 25-26 against other AL East teams. The Yankees have gone 42-35 at home this year and are 50-31 on the road.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 74-58 this year, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 30-15-4. So far, they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games.

When the Yankees are favored, they are just 60-72 on the run line. They are 22-4 on the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game. They are 82-76 on the run line overall. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5 runs per game. They are 33-44 on the run line at home and 49-32 on the run line on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in two straight games and are 2-2 on the run line in their last four games.

The New York Yankees have played in 137 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 this season, which accounts for 86.7% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.1, and their over/under record is 83-70. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 7-9.

Pitching Matchup

Corbin Burnes is coming off a strong outing vs. the Tigers, as he didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. He finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Burnes has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 15-8 with a 2.95 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Burnes has a WHIP of 1.11 and has issued just 2.23 walks per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 21 home runs. In his 31 starts, Burnes has turned in 22 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.18 strikeouts.

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Orioles and is coming off a dominant outing vs. the Athletics. In that September 20th outing, he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back further, Cole had a rough outing vs. the Red Sox on September 14th, where he gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Cole’s record for the season is 7-5, and his ERA is 3.67. Opponents are batting .218 off Cole this season. Out of his 16 starts, he has seven quality starts and is averaging 9.58 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

Anthony Santander has had a good season in terms of power numbers for the Orioles, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league and leads the team. However, his batting average is just .237 for the season and he has really struggled of late, hitting just .184 over his last 10 games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games, and his 37 homers is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are also one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This is a team that has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249 and have the league’s top on-base percentage and are 4th in slugging percentage.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the Yankees’ top two home run hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 57 homers, and Soto is 4th in the league with 41. Judge also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has four homers in his last eight games, while batting .385.

Free Orioles vs. Yankees MLB Pick

Tonight’s Yankees and Orioles game features an excellent pitching matchup between Corbin Burnes and Gerrit Cole. Heading into the game, the Yankees are favored, but I am rolling with Corbin Burnes and the Orioles, as Burnes hasn’t allowed a run in two straight outings, and he is 3-1 in September so far. Although Cole is coming off an outstanding outing, it is worth noting it came vs the Athletics. He will have a much tougher task vs Baltimore tonight. I like the Orioles on the money line.

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