Orioles vs. Brewers Moneyline Pick

Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Thursday, June 8th, 2:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Orioles -117/Brewers -101
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Orioles on Thursday, June 8th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Orioles vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 37-24 SU / OU 31-27 / Runline 37-24
Milwaukee Brewers: 34-28 SU / OU 26-35 / Runline 29-33

Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Orioles have a record of 37-24 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 13-5-1. At home, they have gone 17-12 and 20-12 on the road.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in 60.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
• The Orioles have been favored in 49.2% of their games and have runline records of 13-16 and 24-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 53% of the Orioles’ 61 games at 31-27.

The Brewers take on the Orioles in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 34-28. So far, they are 16-16 on the road and 18-12 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 9-10.

• The Brewers have covered the runline in 46.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Brewers have been favored in 53.2% of their games and have runline records of 13-17 and 16-16 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 26-35.

Pitching Matchup

Starter Kyle Bradish comes in with an overall record of 2-2 for the Orioles. Having made 10 appearances, his ERA is 4.12 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.00 and an OBP of .324.

Baltimore lost the last time Bradish pitched, falling to the Giants by a final score of 4-0. In the game, Bradish went four innings and allowed three earned runs on seven hits.

Milwaukee starter Colin Rea enters with an overall record of 3-3 and ERA of 4.94. His ERA on the road is 4.67 and 6.69 when pitching at home. Rea’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.27 with a batting average allowed of .237. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .424 against him.

In Colin Rea’s last outing, he gave up three runs on six hits to the Reds. Rea came away with the win, as the Brewers came out on top by a score of 10-8.

Orioles vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

The Orioles have played 61 games this season and currently hold a 7th position in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 69 times, putting Baltimore 11th in the league. Their batting average stands at .247, including .237 on the road and .251 at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Righties

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Brewers have played 62 games so far and are ranked 19th in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 9th (73) and their overall batting average stands at .231. This includes a BA of .226 on the road and .228 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Hitting Stats

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing good baseball and have won five out of their last six games. The Orioles have lost three of their last four. In three of those losses, they only managed to score 0, 2 and 3 runs. Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has pitched poorly in four consecutive road games in which he gave up a combined total of 13 earned runs in 18.2 innings. Granted, three of those games were against the Braves, Yankees and Giants, but it still shows inconsistency, and with the Brewers being fairly hot, they qualify as a good hitting team. Poor road performances are nothing new to Bradish, as he had a 4.77 ERA in away games in 2022.

I’m not overly excited to back Colin Rea, however, the Orioles aren’t hitting the ball well right now and there are a few variables in play here that I don’t usually talk about, due to the details being too hard to explain. I know quite a bit about baseball handicapping and which variables matter, however, there are oddball variables that I always look at to help determine how strong a play may be. I’ll try to explain…. In this particular case, 68% of the general betting public are wagering on the Orioles and the line isn’t moving up. This tells me the books like their position on Milwaukee. Second, the total on this game is only 8.5. If you handicapped and didn’t really know what you were doing, a case could be made for this game to be high scoring. A total of 8.5 tells us they’re expecting a low scoring game. With the O’s bats icy and the Brewers hitting well, this info is sort of a funnel that points to a low scoring game. I would never just blindly bet on a game based on what the public is doing or what the total is, but in this case, we’ve got some backwards shiznit in play. One thing I’ve learned after betting on games for over 30 years is fishy lines equal fishy results. I’m betting the Brewers at -105.