Orioles vs. Braves Betting Preview & Free MLB Pick

Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, May 6th, 7:15 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: FOX
Money Line: Orioles +197/Braves -239 (Don’t forget to check out Ken Strong’s Derby Picks for today’s big race!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Orioles on Saturday, May 6th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Orioles vs. Braves Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 22-10 SU / OU 19-12 / Runline 19-13

Atlanta Braves: 22-11 SU / OU 20-12 / Runline 17-16On a record of 22-10, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Braves, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 13-6 while going 9-4 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 8-2.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.0.
• The Orioles have been favored in 59.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-7 and 13-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 61% of the Orioles’ 32 games at 19-12.

The Braves head into today’s game in first place in the NL East on a record of 22-11. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Atlanta is 7-8 and 15-3 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 8-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 51.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.6
• The Braves have been favored in 84.8% of their games and have runline records of 4-11 and 13-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 62% of the Braves’ 33 games at 20-12.

Pitching Matchup

The Orioles will turn to starter Kyle Bradish who has an overall record of 1-1. After four appearances, his ERA is 6.14 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.85 and an OBP of .394.

In his last appearance against the Tigers, Kyle Bradish gave up three runs on six hits while pitching 4 2/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Bradish helped the Orioles secure a 5-3 victory.

With an overall record of 4-0, the Braves will give Spencer Strider the start. His ERA stands at 2.57 with a K/9 figure of 1.6 after making six appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.21 and an OBP of .252.

Spencer Strider’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing four runs allowed on five hits to the Mets. For the game, Strider picked up the win as the Braves won by a score of 9-8.

Orioles vs. Braves Offense Outlook

For the season, the Orioles are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 41 home runs (9th). So far, Baltimore is averaging 5.6 runs per game with a collective batting average of .261. When playing at home, the Orioles have a slugging percentage of .436 compared to .408 at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters On The Road

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Braves have played 33 games and are ranked 5th in the league with 5.5 runs per game. Atlanta ranks 2nd in home runs, having gone deep 55 times. Their average is .264, including .267 on the road and .249 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters vs. Righties

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Both teams have been scoring runs at a high rate lately, with the Orioles putting up six or more runs in seven of their last ten games and four or more runs in nine of their last ten. The Braves have also been producing offensively, scoring six or more runs in four of their last six games and reaching at least four runs in nine of their last ten games.

However, when we look at the starting pitchers, the Braves’ Spencer Strider has been impressive this season with a 4-0 record over six starts, all of which resulted in Atlanta wins. He currently holds a 2.47 ERA, but in his last outing, he gave up four runs in five innings, which was his worst start of the season. It’s worth noting that Strider has given up three runs in two of his three home starts this season, which could be a relevant factor in this game.

The Orioles will be starting Kyle Bradish, who showed promise in his first two starts, pitching 7 2/3 innings without allowing a run. However, he struggled in his next two outings, giving up ten earned runs in just seven innings.

Given the recent offensive performances of both teams and the potential for Strider to give up runs at home, I believe that taking the Over 8 presents a solid betting opportunity for this game.