Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Expert Betting Picks for August 8th

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Thursday, August 8th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: MASN
Money Line: Orioles -116/Blue Jays -102
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Orioles on Thursday, August 8th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Thursday’s matchup between the Orioles and Blue Jays has a first pitch set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Orioles are 68-47 and are starting Dean Kremer, while the Blue Jays are 52-62 and have Kevin Gausman on the mound. Baltimore is 1st in the AL East, while the Blue Jays are 5th.

The money line odds have the Orioles at -116, while the Blue Jays are the slight underdog at -102. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 68-47 SU / OU 64-41 / Runline 62-53
Toronto Blue Jays: 52-62 SU / OU 62-49 / Runline 54-60

Baltimore cruised to a 7-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 1st inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only three runs in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -137 on the money line.

Trevor Rogers got the start for the Orioles, going just five innings but giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Burch Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Bowden Francis only went five innings for the Blue Jays, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

Anthony Santander and Jackson Holliday each homered for the Orioles, while Eloy Jimenez went 2/4 with two RBIs. Leo Jimenez had a three-hit game for the Blue Jays.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

Baltimore is currently tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead, and they hold an overall record of 68-47. The Orioles are 24-11 against other teams in the AL East. The team is currently 6-4 over their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 22-10-3 this season.

At home, the Orioles are 34-25 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 34-22. As the favorite, Baltimore has gone 56-37 this year, and they are 25-15 as the road favorite. So far this year, the Orioles are 12-10 as the underdog.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have covered the run line in 33 of 56 games, including 15 of 22 as the underdog. Their average run differential in all games is +0.8 runs, but it jumps to +1.0 on the road.

In Orioles road games this season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-41. When the line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 13-12-3. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in just 5.2% of their games this season, with 70.4% of their games having lower lines.

Blue Jays Records & Recent Play

Toronto is 52-62 overall and 5th in the AL East, 15.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 16-24 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays have lost two straight series and are 12-18-5 in series this year.

At home, the Blue Jays are 27-29 this year compared to a 25-33 mark on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 33-24 and 19-38 as the underdog. This season, the Blue Jays are 4-6 over their last ten games.

When betting the run line on the Blue Jays, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. Toronto is 35-23 against the run line away from home, compared to just 19-37 at home. The Blue Jays have an average run margin of -0.8 runs per game, but that number is slightly better on the road at -0.6. They’ve been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 30-27 compared to 24-33 as the favorite.

The Toronto Blue Jays are at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 62-49. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4-2. So far this season, only 6.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Dean Kremer is on the mound for the Orioles today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 4.39. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Kremer has taken the loss in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Kremer this season, and he has allowed a total of 14 home runs.

Toronto is sending Kevin Gausman to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 9-8. Gausman’s ERA is 4.56, and his WHIP for the season is 1.30. In his 22 appearances, he has pitched two complete games and has one shutout. Gausman’s last outing came vs. the Yankees, where he finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won three straight starts. His ERA at home is 7.56 compared to 5.15 on the road.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league, and they are also 1st in slugging percentage and isolated power. As a team, they are 3rd in runs scored and are averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are batting .255, which is 6th in the league.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ top power threat this season, as his 34 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He has also been hot of late, going 13/41 in his last 10 games with 5 homers. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat, as his 29 homers is 5th in the league.

Heading into today’s game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .317 for the Blue Jays and is also near the top of the MLB leaderboards in home runs (22) and RBIs (72). He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/21 in his last six games. Daulton Varsho and George Springer are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both players are batting below .225 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .241. However, they do have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. The Blue Jays are looking to get their offense going, as they have just the 21st ranked scoring offense on the road and at home.

Free Orioles vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick

Kevin Gausman was roughed up in his last outing, giving up four earned runs and two homers, which matched the amount of home runs he gave up across four starts in July. Although he went 3-1 in the month of July, I believe his most recent start vs. the Yankees is more like how things will go today; I like the Orioles to win this one straight-up and am taking them on the money line.