NY Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview, Odds, Free Pick

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, July 30th, 7:10 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Yankees +109/Orioles -129
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Yankees on Sunday, July 30th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Yankees vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Gleyber Torres	1	2B
Aaron Judge	2	RF
Anthony Rizzo	3	1B
Giancarlo Stanton	4	DH
DJ LeMahieu	5	3B
Harrison Bader	6	CF
Billy McKinney	7	LF
Anthony Volpe	8	SS
Kyle Higashioka	9	C
Luis Severino	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Gunnar Henderson	1	SS
Adley Rutschman	2	C
Anthony Santander	3	RF
Ryan O’Hearn	4	1B
Ryan Mountcastle	5	DH
Austin Hays	6	LF
Colton Cowser	7	CF
Adam Frazier	8	2B
Jordan Westburg	9	3B
Dean Kremer	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 55-49 SU / OU 46-53 / Runline 54-50
Baltimore Orioles: 63-41 SU / OU 53-44 / Runline 62-42

So far this season, the Yankees have an overall record of 55-49, putting them 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 23-25 and 32-24 at home. The team’s series record is 15-12-6.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in 51.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
• The Yankees have been favored in 66.3% of their games and have runline records of 27-29 and 27-21 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 46-53.

Even though the Orioles are in first place in the AL East, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Baltimore’s overall record currently sits at 63-41, including going 32-20 on the road and 31-21 at home. Their series record stands at 19-10-3.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in 59.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Orioles have been favored in 45.2% of their games and have runline records of 24-28 and 38-14 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 104 games at 53-44.

Pitching Matchup

 

In today’s game, New York starter Luis Severino will look to do a better job keeping the ball in the ballpark as he has given up a home-run in four straight appearances. Overall, he has put together a record of 2-4 and ERA of 6.46. In total, he has racked up 45 strikeouts and has a K/9 figure of 7.45. In terms of walks, he has issued an average of 3.64 per 9 innings.

New York is hoping that Luis Severino can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Royals (8-5) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with three earned runs on eight hits across 5 2/3 innings.

 

Baltimore starter Dean Kremer enters with an overall record of 10-4 and ERA of 4.59. His ERA on the road is 4.54 and 6.35 when pitching at home. Kremer’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.30 with a batting average allowed of .258. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .443 against him.

Despite finishing with a quality start in his last outing, Dean Kremer did not factor into the decision in the Orioles’ 3-2 win over the Phillies. He surrendered one run on three hits across seven innings of work.

Yankees vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

The Yankees have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 144 home runs (6th). In terms of overall run production, New York is averaging 4.3 runs per game on collective batting average of .230. At home, their slugging percentagee is .412 compared to .375 on the road.

New York Yankees Top Bats




New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

With an average of 4.8 runs per game, Baltimore is ranked 11th in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Orioles have gone deep 122 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (12th). Their current batting average of .248 ranks 15th in the league. While their home batting average is 14th, they rank 15th on the road.

Baltimore Orioles Team Hitting Stats




Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

The Yankees starter Luis Severino has been okay in his last two outings but was owned by the Orioles three back getting tagged with seven earned runs over 2 2/3 innings on this very same field. The Baltimore roster has a .349 batting average and 1.029 OPS against the New York right-hander. Dan Kremer will make his 22nd start for the Orioles with mixed performance results. He’s 5-2 at home but brings a 5.43 ERA at Camden Yards. Earlier this month he had a strong outing going seven innings allowing just one earned run, but Aaron Judge wasn’t in the line up and he’s destroyed him with three home runs in ten at-bats. Both pitchers could get lit up here making the Over the prudent call in this spot. Take the Over 9.5. Note we had a tech issue getting this game up.