NLCS Game 4 Pick: Phillies vs. Dbacks Predictions
Date: Friday, October 20th, 8:07 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: TBS
Money Line: Phillies -133/Diamondbacks +112
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Phillies on Friday, October 20th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
PHI | -133 | -1.5 | O 9.5 (-111) |
ARI | +112 | +1.5 | U 9.5 (-110) |
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber | 1 | DH |
Trea Turner | 2 | SS |
Alec Bohm | 3 | 3B |
Bryce Harper | 4 | 1B |
J.T. Realmuto | 5 | C |
Nick Castellanos | 6 | RF |
Bryson Stott | 7 | 2B |
Cristian Pache | 8 | LF |
Johan Rojas | 9 | CF |
Cristopher Sánchez | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Ketel Marte | 1 | 2B |
Corbin Carroll | 2 | RF |
Tommy Pham | 3 | DH |
Christian Walker | 4 | 1B |
Gabriel Moreno | 5 | C |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 6 | LF |
Alek Thomas | 7 | CF |
Evan Longoria | 8 | 3B |
Geraldo Perdomo | 9 | SS |
Joe Mantiply | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 79-81 / Runline 79-92
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 75-87 / Runline 94-76
With an overall record of 90-72, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 14 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 8-2. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 41-40 while going 49-32 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 31-20-4.
- The Phillies have covered the runline in 46.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
- The Phillies have been favored in 67.8% of their games and have runline records of 40-47 and 39-45 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 79-81.
Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 32-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 55.3% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.0
- The Diamondbacks have been favored in 43.5% of their games and have runline records of 46-37 and 48-39 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 75-87.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cristopher Sánchez | 19 | 18 | 99 | 3-5 | 3.44 | 1.05 | 16 |
Cristopher Sánchez heads into the game with an overall record of 3-5 and an ERA of 3.44. In his six appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 1.88 and record of 0-1. At home, he has put together a mark of 3-4 and ERA of 4.07. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.05, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .232. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .416.
Cristopher Sánchez had a rough outing in his last appearance, allowing zero runs in just one inning of work. Sánchez did not factor in the decision as the Phillies lost to the Mets by a score of 11-4.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Mantiply | 39 | 3 | 39 | 2-2 | 4.62 | 1.13 | 4 |
With an overall record of 2-2, Joe Mantiply gets the start for Arizona. His ERA stands at 4.62 with a K/9 figure of 6.46 after making 39 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.84 and an OBP of .273.
Joe Mantiply is coming off an outing in which he gave up three runs across just one-third innings of work. Mantiply took a no-decision in the Diamondbacks’ 10-0 loss to the Phillies.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook
The Phillies are making their mark in the power department with a total of 220 home runs (7th). They are currently averaging 4.9 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .256. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .404 compared to .456 at home.
Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber | .197 | .343 | .474 | 104 | 47 | 0 |
Trea Turner | .266 | .320 | .459 | 76 | 26 | 30 |
Nick Castellanos | .272 | .311 | .476 | 106 | 29 | 11 |
Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber | .306 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1.222 |
Bryce Harper | .306 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .639 |
Trea Turner | .417 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.000 |
J.T. Realmuto | .250 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .333 |
Nick Castellanos | .083 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .333 |
At 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is ranked 14th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 166 times so far. The team’s batting average of .250 places them 10th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 20th compared to 8th at home.
Arizona Diamondbacks Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corbin Carroll | .285 | .362 | .506 | 76 | 25 | 54 |
Christian Walker | .258 | .333 | .497 | 103 | 33 | 11 |
Ketel Marte | .276 | .358 | .485 | 82 | 25 | 8 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketel Marte | .450 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .667 |
Geraldo Perdomo | .111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .444 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | .222 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .333 |
Christian Walker | .083 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .083 |
Gabriel Moreno | .167 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .250 |
Free MLB Pick
Even though the Diamondbacks are coming off a win, they will head into game four with Joe Mantiply on the mound, who has spent most of the season out of the bullpen. Look for the Phillies to go up 3-1 and pick up the win tonight.
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