New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Value Pick

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Tuesday, May 16th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Yankees +153/Blue Jays -183
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Yankees on Tuesday, May 16th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Anthony Volpe	1	SS
Aaron Judge	2	RF
Anthony Rizzo	3	1B
Gleyber Torres	4	2B
DJ LeMahieu	5	3B
Harrison Bader	6	CF
Jake Bauers	7	LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	8	SS
Jose Trevino	9	C
Domingo Germán	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1B
Matt Chapman	4	3B
Daulton Varsho	5	RF
Brandon Belt	6	1B
Danny Jansen	7	C
Santiago Espinal	8	2B
Kevin Kiermaier	9	CF
Kevin Gausman	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 24-19 SU / OU 20-22 / Runline 23-20
Toronto Blue Jays: 24-17 SU / OU 19-20 / Runline 21-20

With an overall record of 24-19, the Yankees are in 4th place in the AL East, trailing by 7.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Yankees have a mark of 8-9 while going 16-10 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 7-4.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
• The Yankees have been favored in 72.1% of their games and have runline records of 14-12 and 9-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 20-22.

With an overall record of 24-17, the Blue Jays are in 3rd place in the AL East, trailing by 6.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Blue Jays have a mark of 12-13 while going 12-4 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 9-4.

• The Blue Jays have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 70.7% of their games and have runline records of 8-8 and 13-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 19-20.

Pitching Matchup




Entering with a record of 2-3, Domingo Germán is making his 9th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.00 on a batting average allowed of .175. On the road, he is 1-0 with a 5.20 ERA and 1-3 at home with an ERA of 3.56. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .356 against him.

After a loss against the Rays, Domingo Germán is coming off a performance where he gave up two runs on three hits over 5 2/3 innings.




Across eight appearances, Kevin Gausman has a slugging percentage allowed of .372 and enters with a WHIP of 1.10. His overall record is 2-3 on an ERA of 3.38. For the season, he has a total of 67 K’s, and is averaging 1.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Gausman’s record on the road is 2-3 and 0-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.85 (road) and 1.69 (home), respectively.

Despite throwing six innings and allowing only zero runs in his last appearance, Kevin Gausman did not factor in the decision. In the game, the Blue Jays still lost to the Phillies by a score of 2-1.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

Through 43 games the Yankees are 10th in the league at 4.6 runs per game. In terms of home runs, New York is 4th having gone deep 63 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .238 including .236 on the road and .234 at home.

New York Yankees Top Hitters On The Road




New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games




In terms of offensive production Toronto is currently ranked 13th in the league this season. The team has hit 44 home runs, which is 16th, and their batting average of .258 is ranked 10th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 7th in batting average, compared to 7th when playing at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Hitting Stats




Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Yankees have been on an offensive tear lately, putting up six or more runs in four consecutive games and achieving this feat in seven of their last eight outings. As they face the Blue Jays, the value lies with the visitors, currently priced at +166.

Domingo German takes the mound for New York in this matchup, and despite the team losing his last three starts against Toronto, his overall performance against the current team is decent. He has limited the Blue Jays’ roster to a .214 batting average over 84 at-bats, showcasing his ability to stifle their offense.

On the other hand, the Blue Jays are sending out Kevin Gausman, who has been exceptional against the Yankees in his last three starts, allowing just two earned runs over 20 1/3 innings. While this may seem like a risky pick, the value on the visitor cannot be ignored.

With the Yankees’ powerful offense and German’s solid back numbers (needs to keep it in the park) against the Blue Jays, my top pick is to back the New York Yankees at +166.