Date: Monday, April 24th, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Yankees +129/Twins -151
Total Line: 7.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Yankees on Monday, April 24th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
+129 | +1.5 | O 7.5 (-116) |
 |
-151 | -1.5 | U 7.5 (-104) |
Yankees vs. Twins Projected Lineup
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 1 | SS |
| Aaron Judge | 2 | RF |
| Anthony Rizzo | 3 | 1B |
| Gleyber Torres | 4 | 2B |
| DJ LeMahieu | 5 | 3B |
| Willie Calhoun | 6 | LF |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 7 | RF |
| Jose Trevino | 8 | C |
| Franchy Cordero | 9 | 1B |
| Jhony Brito | – | SP |
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 1 | RF |
| Carlos Correa | 2 | SS |
| Byron Buxton | 3 | CF |
| Trevor Larnach | 4 | RF |
| Jorge Polanco | 5 | 2B |
| Jose Miranda | 6 | 1B |
| Joey Gallo | 7 | RF |
| Christian Vázquez | 8 | C |
| Michael A. Taylor | 9 | CF |
| Sonny Gray | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
New York Yankees: 13-9 SU / OU 7-15 / Runline 11-11
So far this season, the Yankees have an overall record of 13-9, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are six games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 4-2 and 9-7 at home. The team’s series record is 5-0.
- The Yankees have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.0.
- The Yankees have been favored in 90.9% of their games and have runline records of 7-9 and 4-2 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 7-15.
Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 12-10, including going 7-6 on the road and 5-4 at home. Their series record stands at 3-2.
- The Twins have covered the runline in 54.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
- The Twins have been favored in 63.6% of their games and have runline records of 4-5 and 8-5 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 8-12.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 4 | 4 | 15 | 2-1 | 5.40 | 1.40 | 1 |
The Yankees will turn to starter Jhony Brito who has an overall record of 2-1. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 5.40 with a K/9 figure of 0.7. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.16 to go along with an OBP of .328.
In his last appearance against the Angels, Jhony Brito gave up one run on three hits while pitching 4 1/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Brito helped the Yankees secure a 3-2 victory.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 4 | 4 | 22 | 2-0 | .82 | 1.18 | 0 |
Starter Sonny Gray comes in with an overall record of 2-0 for the Twins. Having made four appearances, his ERA is .82 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.22 and an OBP of .283.
In his last appearance, Sonny Gray lasted five innings in the Twins’ 5-4 loss to the Red Sox. Individually, Gray finished with a no-decision while giving up one run on seven hits.
Yankees vs. Twins Offense Outlook
As of now, the Yankees are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 30 home runs (4th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 4.2 runs per game with a collective batting average of .227. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .426 compared to .384 at home.
New York Yankees Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | .244 | .344 | .500 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| Anthony Rizzo | .316 | .411 | .566 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Gleyber Torres | .254 | .386 | .394 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | .367 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .567 |
| Anthony Volpe | .200 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .350 |
| Aaron Judge | .167 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .367 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | .183 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .450 |
| DJ LeMahieu | .417 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .533 |
This season, the Twins are ranked 22nd in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. Minnesota is ranked 16th in home runs, with a total of 25 long balls. Their overall batting average is .230, including .216 on the road and .234 at home.
Minnesota Twins Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | .233 | .329 | .370 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| Byron Buxton | .243 | .313 | .432 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael A. Taylor | .232 | .274 | .435 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | .280 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1.000 |
| Trevor Larnach | .208 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .521 |
| Byron Buxton | .250 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .500 |
| Max Kepler | .197 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .353 |
| Edouard Julien | .317 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .567 |
Free MLB Pick
The Yanks have been having a rough time at the plate, only managing to put up 3 or less runs in six out of their last seven games. A big part of this slump is Aaron Judge, who’s only knocked one dinger in his past eight games and has a measly three hits in his last 25 at-bats (0.120 BA).
For this game, the Yankees are throwing out their newbie, Jhony Brito. He’s had some solid outings except for one disaster against the Twins, where they sent him packing in the first inning after piling on seven runs in just 2/3 of an inning.
On the other hand, the Twins are putting Jon Gray on the mound tonight. He’s only got a 1-0 record this season, but he’s been bringing it, giving up one or zero runs in each of his four starts for a shiny 1.06 ERA. Plus, he’s got a good history against the Yankees’ lineup, holding them to a weak .114 batting average over 44 at-bats.
It was a close call deciding whether to take the larger money line or aim for value and lay the 1.5 runs. But if Brito slips up, Minnesota should win by a comfortable margin. And if it ends up being a pitcher’s duel, the Yanks’ bullpen might help them prevail. I’m banking on the former – take Minnesota -1.5 +140.