New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Pick 7/28/23

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Friday, July 28th, 7:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN
Money Line: Yankees -122/Orioles +102
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Yankees on Friday, July 28th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Yankees vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Jake Bauers	1	RF
Gleyber Torres	2	2B
Anthony Rizzo	3	1B
Giancarlo Stanton	4	DH
DJ LeMahieu	5	3B
Harrison Bader	6	CF
Billy McKinney	7	LF
Anthony Volpe	8	SS
Kyle Higashioka	9	C
Gerrit Cole	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Gunnar Henderson	1	SS
Adley Rutschman	2	C
Anthony Santander	3	RF
Ryan O’Hearn	4	1B
Austin Hays	5	LF
Ryan Mountcastle	6	DH
Colton Cowser	7	CF
Adam Frazier	8	2B
Ramón Urías	9	3B
Grayson Rodriguez	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 54-48 SU / OU 45-52 / Runline 53-49
Baltimore Orioles: 62-40 SU / OU 52-43 / Runline 61-41

The Yankees head into today’s game vs. the Orioles with an overall record of 54-48. This mark has them sitting 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 22-24 and 32-24, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 15-12-5.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in 52.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
• The Yankees have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 27-29 and 26-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 45-52.

Against the Yankees, the Orioles are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 62-40 is stil good for 1st in the AL East. At home, Baltimore has gone 30-20 and 32-20 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 19-9-3.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in 59.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
• The Orioles have been favored in 45.1% of their games and have runline records of 23-27 and 38-14 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 102 games at 52-43.

Pitching Matchup

 

Gerrit Cole has gone at least six innings in four straight games and has a record of 9-2. Through 21 appearances, his ERA is 2.78 along with a WHIP of 1.08. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 144/36 and slugging percentage allowed of .339. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .214 vs. him.

Unfortunately, Cole did not pick up the W in his last outing, despite finishing with a quality start. In New York’s 5-2 win over the Royals, he pitched 6 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs.

 

Baltimore starter Grayson Rodriguez enters with an overall record of 2-2 and ERA of 6.91. His ERA on the road is 5.38 and 1.66 when pitching at home. Rodriguez’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.66 with a batting average allowed of .294. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .532 against him.

Giving up two runs and three hits during his last appearance against the Rays, Grayson Rodriguez did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Orioles managed to win the game by a score of 6-5.

Yankees vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

After 103 games, the Yankees are ranked 21st in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. New York ranks 6th in home runs (141) while their overall batting average is .230. On the road, they have a BA of .223 and .225 at home.

New York Yankees Top Bats

 

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

After 102 games played, the Orioles are 10th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 12th, on a total of 120 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .239 on the road and .251 at home, is .250.

Baltimore Orioles Top Bats

 

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

The Orioles appear to have Yankees’starter Gerrit Cole’s number getting to him for 13 runs over 19 innings in three career starts. Baltimore starter Gryason Rodriguez has been not shown any consistency and brings a bloated 9.11 home era into this game. Take the Over 8.5. 

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