New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: Key Prediction for August 11

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Sunday, August 11th, 7:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Mets +111/Mariners -132
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Mets on Sunday, August 11th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:10 PM ET, the Mets and Mariners square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-132). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +111, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

ESPN will be televising Sunday’s matchup, and Luis Severino is starting for the Mets. The Mariners are starting Luis Castillo, and they are looking to extend their winning streak to four games. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.

Mets vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 61-56 SU / OU 58-55 / Runline 56-61
Seattle Mariners: 62-56 SU / OU 50-63 / Runline 52-66

Seattle cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Mets, they didn’t get on the board until the 7th inning. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -133 on the money line.

Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sean Manaea had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.

At the plate, Justin Turner went 2/3 with a home run and two RBIs. Randy Arozarena also had two hits and drove in a run for Seattle’s offense.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets are on the road today, and they are looking to pick up a win, as they have dropped two straight games. Currently, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 20-16 in the division and 61-56 overall.

At home, the Mets are 30-29 this year, and they have gone 31-27 on the road. This season, the Mets are 38-31 as the favorite but just 23-25 when listed as the underdog. New York’s two-game losing streak has come as the underdog.

The New York Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 56-61. They are 31-27 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 28 of 48 games as the underdog, but just 28 of 69 games as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6, but it drops to -3.4 in losses.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Mets is 58-55, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets are 11-13. In total, 82 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 70.1% of their games. Their current under streak is at seven games.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is 62-56 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL West, tied with the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners have won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. In the AL West, they are 6.5 games ahead of the Rangers.

So far, the Mariners have gone 19-13 in divisional games. At home, they are 36-26 this season and have gone 26-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 43-35 this year and 19-21 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 16-19-2.

Seattle has a run line record of 26-36 at home this season, with an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight games at home and are 31-47 against the run line as the favorite this season.

The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the New York Mets. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their season average of 8 runs per game. The Mariners have gone under in 13 of 22 games when the line is set at 7.5 runs this season. The under has hit in their last three games.

Pitching Matchup

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.06. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued 3.08 walks per nine innings compared to 7.06 strikeouts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-11 and an ERA of 3.48. So far this season, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .234 off the right-hander. Castillo has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 8.79 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Castillo took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Mets vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

Francisco Lindor has been swinging the bat well for the Mets of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .258 with 22 homers and 67 RBIs. Pete Alonso leads the team with 25 homers but is batting just .242 for the season. He has also gone deep twice in his last seven games.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249 and have the league’s 8th-best on-base percentage.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and on-base percentage. However, the Mariners do have the 10th most home runs in the league and have been good at drawing walks this season.

Cal Raleigh has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 24 homers are 10th in the league. He also leads the Mariners with 71 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers this season but is batting just .222. Arozarena has gone 7/24 in his last seven games, while Luke Raley has two homers in his last four games and is batting .364 in that stretch.

Free Mets vs. Mariners MLB Pick

The Mets have yet to score a run heading into game three of this series, and things don’t get any easier with Luis Castillo on the mound for the Mariners. Look for Seattle to come away with the sweep in this series, and I am going with them on the money line.