New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: MLB Betting Preview

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Friday, August 23rd, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: SNY
Money Line: Mets +119/Padres -140 (Bet on sports at discounted odds at Betanysports!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Mets on Friday, August 23rd at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Joe Musgrove and the Padres will host the Mets tonight at PETCO Park in San Diego, and they are the betting favorite at -140. The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +119, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

New York will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, and they are 67-61 this season. The Padres are 72-57 overall and are 3rd in the NL West. SNY will be televising this one, and the first pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 67-61 SU / OU 65-59 / Runline 60-68
San Diego Padres: 72-57 SU / OU 70-58 / Runline 67-62

New York picked up an 8-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Padres got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 9th.

Luis Severino only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Dylan Cease struggled on the mound for the Padres, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, Mark Vientos, and Jesse Winker each had two hits and drove in at least one run for the Mets. Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias also had two hits and an RBI.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets are 67-61 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games for the division lead. New York has gone 22-17 in divisional games this season. They have won two straight games and are 6-4 across their last ten.

At home, the Mets are 35-33 this season, and they are 32-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 this season, and they are 24-26 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-7, and they have won two straight series.

The Mets are 60-68 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game. They are 32-28 against the run line on the road, with an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 31-47 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 29-21.

The Mets are on the road today against the Padres, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. Both teams have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and the Mets have an over/under record of 65-59 on the year. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets have a record of 13-13 in those games. Overall, 71.1% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Padres Records & Recent Play

San Diego is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 4.5 games. Overall, the Padres are 72-57, and they are 20-20 in divisional games. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the series opener vs. the Mets.

At home, the Padres are 35-31 this year and 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 45-35 and 27-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-3.

The Padres have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 41-22. They are 26-40 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of -0.2 runs per game. Overall, San Diego is 67-62 against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.

The San Diego Padres are at home today against the New York Mets, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 70-58 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 20-21. The over has hit in four straight games for the Padres.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending right-hander Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 4.19. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.15 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 10 homers this season. Blackburn most recently pitched on August 18th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.97. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.40. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow an earned run. Musgrove went 4 1/3 innings in that outing and gave up just one hit. He finished with a no-decision in that start. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings.

Mets vs. Padres Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 10th in the league, and have the 5th best OPS in baseball.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .268 with 25 homers and a team-high 73 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he has 27 homers this season, which is 10th in the league.

So far this season, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game and has been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20, and Machado is also 2nd on the team with 73 RBIs. Profar’s 77 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. Over his last nine games, Machado is batting just .233, while Profar has gone 11/31 (.355). David Peralta is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Free Mets vs. Padres MLB Pick

This is a big series in how the NL Wild Card race will play out, as the Mets are just 1.5 games out of the final spot in the NL. On the other side, the Padres are looking to hold on to their current spot in the Wild Card standings. And in a pitching matchup between Paul Blackburn and Joe Musgrove, I like the Padres in this one. At -140, I still see there being value on the money line, but if you’re looking for a better payout, I feel good about the Padres winning this one by more than one run.

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