New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Aug 3, 2023 | mlb

New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
Date: Thursday, August 3rd, 2:10 ET
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: BSKC
Money Line: Mets -101/Royals -119 (Get a 125% bonus and FREE half point!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Kansas City Royals and the Mets on Thursday, August 3rd at Kauffman Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYM -101 +1.5 O 9 (-110)
KC -119 -1.5 U 9 (-110)

Mets vs. Royals Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Jeff McNeil 2 LF
Francisco Lindor 3 SS
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Daniel Vogelbach 5 DH
Brett Baty 6 3B
Francisco Alvarez 7 C
DJ Stewart 8 RF
Danny Mendick 9 2B
Carlos Carrasco SP

 

Batting Order Position
Maikel Garcia 1 3B
Bobby Witt Jr. 2 SS
MJ Melendez 3 LF
Salvador Perez 4 1B
Freddy Fermin 5 C
Michael Massey 6 2B
Edward Olivares 7 DH
Drew Waters 8 RF
Kyle Isbel 9 CF
Brady Singer SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 50-57 SU / OU 43-58 / Runline 40-67
Kansas City Royals: 34-75 SU / OU 50-57 / Runline 43-66

Heading into their game vs. the Royals, the Mets have a record of 50-57 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 12-18-5. At home, they have gone 26-23 and 24-34 on the road.

 

  • The Mets have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
  • The Mets have been favored in 67.3% of their games and have runline records of 19-30 and 21-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 43-58.

As they take on the Mets, the Royals have an overall record of 34-75 and are currently last in the AL Central. However, they have rattled off five straight wins. At home, Kansas City has a mark of 20-36 compared to 14-39 on the road. Their series record sits at 5-27-2.

 

  • The Royals have covered the runline in five straight games and have a season-long run margin of -1.5.
  • The Royals have been favored in 11.9% of their games and have runline records of 23-33 and 20-33 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Royals have an over/under record of just 50-57.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Carlos Carrasco 15 15 70 3-5 6.40 1.65 13

For the season, New York starter Carlos Carrasco has a record of 3-5 and ERA of 6.40. One thing to note, is that he has given up four or more earned run in three straight games. Overall, he has a slugging percentage allowed of .478 with opponents putting together a batting average of .285 against him. In terms of strikeouts, he comes in with a season-long total of 52 while issuing 32 walks.

Carlos Carrasco will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Nationals. In the Mets’ 11-6 loss, Carrasco gave up eight runs in 2 1/3 innings of work.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Brady Singer 21 21 113 6-8 5.46 1.46 12

Kansas City starter Brady Singer enters with an overall record of 6-8 and ERA of 5.46. His ERA on the road is 8.44 and 5.12 when pitching at home. Singer’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.46 with a batting average allowed of .281. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .462 against him.

In his last appearance against the Twins, Brady Singer gave up two runs on four hits while pitching five innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Singer helped the Royals secure a 8-5 victory.

Mets vs. Royals Offense Outlook

After 108 games, the Mets are ranked 19th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. New York ranks 10th in home runs (135) while their overall batting average is .239. On the road, they have a BA of .236 and .222 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Francisco Lindor .234 .323 .459 65 21 17
Pete Alonso .218 .312 .507 77 31 3
Brandon Nimmo .256 .353 .431 47 15 3

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Francisco Lindor .396 6 4 2 .833
Francisco Álvarez .328 4 3 2 .778
Pete Alonso .183 3 1 1 .333
Mark Vientos .250 3 1 1 .667
Jeff McNeil .263 5 3 0 .388

On offense, Kansas City is 28th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 26th, having hit 98 homers. Their overall batting average is .237, including .220 on the road and .234 at home.

Kansas City Royals Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Bobby Witt Jr. .264 .302 .464 62 18 30
Salvador Perez .246 .288 .428 44 17 0
MJ Melendez .216 .293 .348 36 8 6

Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bobby Witt Jr. .438 8 3 1 .738
Maikel Garcia .396 6 3 0 .458
Drew Waters .208 3 3 1 .583
Michael Massey .163 3 1 1 .375
Kyle Isbel .433 6 3 0 .500

Free MLB Pick

The Kansas City Royals are on a five-game heater! They’ve scored 4, 7, 2 10 and 8 runs over that span. There’s a good chance that streak continues Thursday evening as Mets starter Carlos Carrasco looks like he might be out of gas. He’s mega-tanked in his last three appearances in which he’s gotten knocked out after 2.1, 2.1 and 4.2 innings, where he allowed 6, 5 and 4 earned runs. More frightening than that, is that he allowed 9, 12 and 8 hits/walks in those appearances. This is one of the worst three game stretches I’ve seen in quite some time. When you do the math, it equates to allowing 29 hits/walks in only 9.1 innings, for a WHIP of 3.10. For those not familiar with the WHIP stat, it means walks + hits divided by innings pitched. In more simple terms, it tells us the approximate average of how many runners a pitcher is putting on base per winning. At 3.10, this would essentially mean that he’s loading the bases every inning. Those numbers are so horrific that it’s actually unbelievable! In comparison, a bad WHIP is 1.50. Carrasco has literally doubled that over his last three starts.

On the flip side, we’ve got Brady Singer on the mound for the Royals. He’s been pitching really well at home lately. If you break down his game logs, you’ll see that he’s gotten better every single month. Here’s his earned runs allowed at home over the last couple months: 2, 4, 1, 0, 2, 0, 2. Not bad! And how can you not love this guy? He bought his parents a house with the money he earned from his first professional contract!

Over the last seven days, the Royals are fourth in Major League Baseball with a .310 average, fifth in on base average (.359) and fifth in slugging percentage (.494).

It makes me feel a little dirty betting on KC after I bashed and faded their bullpen a couple days ago, but Carrasco’s numbers are so bad I can’t resist. I’m betting the Royals at -117. Note: A KILLER sportsbook offer is coming to a close in a couple days. It’s probably the best offer you’ll ever see from an online sportsbook: “Deposit $25 and get $50 FREE”. In order to score this, you’ll need to register for an account through at Everygame through this special link. After you’ve made your deposit, you’ll need to go directly to their “Special Offers” page and enter bonus code ROOKIE200 (has to be done before placing your first bet) and you’re extra $50 will showup in your balance! Enjoy!

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