New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds, Analysis, Prediction

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Saturday, August 5th, 7:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN
Money Line: Mets +150/Orioles -181
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Mets on Saturday, August 5th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mets vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Brandon Nimmo	1	CF
Francisco Lindor	2	SS
Jeff McNeil	3	2B
Pete Alonso	4	1B
Daniel Vogelbach	5	DH
Starling Marte	6	LF
Francisco Alvarez	7	C
Brett Baty	8	3B
DJ Stewart	9	RF
Tylor Megill	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Gunnar Henderson	1	SS
Adley Rutschman	2	C
Anthony Santander	3	RF
Ryan O’Hearn	4	1B
Ryan Mountcastle	5	DH
Austin Hays	6	LF
Ramón Urías	7	3B
Colton Cowser	8	CF
Adam Frazier	9	2B
Kyle Gibson	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 50-59 SU / OU 45-58 / Runline 40-69
Baltimore Orioles: 68-42 SU / OU 56-47 / Runline 67-43

Heading into their game vs. the Orioles, the Mets have a record of 50-59 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 12-19-5. At home, they have gone 26-23 and 24-36 on the road.

• The Mets have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
• The Mets have been favored in 66.1% of their games and have runline records of 19-30 and 21-39 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 45-58.

The Orioles take on the Mets in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 68-42. So far, they are 35-21 on the road and 33-21 at home. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 21-11-3.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
• The Orioles have been favored in 44.5% of their games and have runline records of 26-28 and 41-15 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Orioles’ 110 games at 56-47.

Pitching Matchup

 

The Mets will turn to starter Tylor Megill who has an overall record of 6-4. After 15 appearances, his ERA is 5.17 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.32. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.09 and an OBP of .364.

In his last outing, Tylor Megill allowed five runs in just 2 1/3 innings of work, resulting in a no-decision. The Mets took the 10-8 loss against the Astros.

 

Kyle Gibson has gone at least six innings in three straight games and has a record of 10-6. Through 23 appearances, his ERA is 4.53 along with a WHIP of 1.31. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 108/42 and slugging percentage allowed of .390. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .260 vs. him.

The Orioles picked up a win the last time Kyle Gibson took the mound, taking down the Blue Jays by a score of 4-2. In six innings of work, he allowed four hits and one earned run while adding a W to his record.

Mets vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

The Mets have played 110 games this season and currently hold a 18th position in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 136 times, putting New York 11th in the league. Their batting average stands at .237, including .233 on the road and .222 at home.

New York Mets Top Hitters vs. Righties

 

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

This season, Baltimore is ranked 8th in the league in runs scored at 5 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 127 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .253 is 10th in the league. On the road, they are 10th in batting average compared to 10th at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Righties

 

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

The Mets’ starter Tylor MeGill has been awful on the road, with a 7.99 ERA in eight starts, while Kyle Gibson has had his struggles at home, where he carries a 5.55 earned run average over nine starts. The Mets’ bats certainly aren’t booming, but we may not need them to get more than a few to get this over the total line. Take the Over 9.5. Bankroll running low? Check out the massive list of 100% sportsbook bonuses we have!