Monday MLB Picks: Yankees at Rangers Predictions & Betting Analysis
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Monday, September 2nd, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Yankees -190/Rangers +159
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Yankees on Monday, September 2nd at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | -190 | -1.5 | O 8.5 (-122) |
| TEX | +159 | +1.5 | U 8.5 (100) |
At 8:05 PM ET, the Yankees and Rangers will square off in an AL matchup. Monday’s matchup is taking place at Globe Life Field in Arlington, and the Rangers are on a two-game winning streak, while the Yankees have lost two straight. New York is 1st in the AL East, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -190 compared to the Rangers at +159. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Yankees will be sending Gerrit Cole to the mound. The Rangers are starting Jack Leiter.
Yankees vs. Rangers Projected Lineup
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 1 | 2B |
| Juan Soto | 2 | RF |
| Aaron Judge | 3 | CF |
| Austin Wells | 4 | C |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 5 | DH |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 6 | 3B |
| Anthony Rizzo | 7 | 1B |
| Anthony Volpe | 8 | SS |
| Alex Verdugo | 9 | LF |
| Gerrit Cole | – | SP |
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien | 1 | 2B |
| Corey Seager | 2 | SS |
| Josh Smith | 3 | DH |
| Adolis García | 4 | RF |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 5 | 1B |
| Josh Jung | 6 | 3B |
| Wyatt Langford | 7 | LF |
| Jonah Heim | 8 | C |
| Leody Taveras | 9 | CF |
| Jack Leiter | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
New York Yankees: 79-58 SU / OU 75-58 / Runline 72-65
Yankees Records & Recent Play
New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 14-7 loss to the Cardinals, Giancarlo Stanton went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs. The Yankees really got things going with a two-run 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Cardinals scored four times in the top of the 2nd.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up five earned runs on nine hits. Jake Cousins was tagged for the other two runs in the 9th.
The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Rangers having dropped two straight games, and they are 79-58 overall this season. New York holds a half-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. So far, they are just 22-23 in divisional games. The Yankees dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Yankees are 37-31 this season, and they have gone 42-27 on the road. As the favorite, New York is 61-51 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 25-15-4, but they have dropped two straight series.
When the Yankees are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, with a 41-28 record. They have a run line record of 72-65 overall, and their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game. They have been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 21-4, but have struggled as the favorite, going 51-61.
The Yankees are on the road against the Texas Rangers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Yankees games this season is 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 75-58 on the season, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 29-18. So far this season, 48 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 35.0% of their games. Their current over streak is at 3 games.
Rangers Records & Recent Play
The Rangers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing one run to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Rangers responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 3rd inning. Texas went on to close things out with another run in the 8th.
Starting for the Rangers was Walter Pennington, who picked up the win while tossing 1 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball. The Rangers used a total of five pitchers, and Matt Festa was the only one to go more than one inning.
Texas will open their series vs. the Yankees with an overall record of 65-72, which puts them 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Astros by 10 games and are 16-19 in AL West games. The Rangers are on a two-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win.
At home, the Rangers are 36-32 this season and 29-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers are 21-40 this season and 44-32 when favored. Texas’ overall series record is 18-25-1, and they have won two straight series.
When the Rangers are favored, they are a good team to bet against, as they are just 24-52 vs. the run line. They are 32-29 vs. the run line as underdogs, and their average run differential in losses is -3.8.
When the Texas Rangers are at home, the average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. This season, the Rangers have played 43 games with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, going 21-28 in those games. Their combined run average in those games is 8.6 runs per game. Overall, their over/under record for the season is 60-72.
Pitching Matchup
New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 3.86. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 9.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Cole most recently faced the Nationals, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Jack Leiter is set to make his third start of the season, and it will be his first at home. So far, he has a loss and a no-decision, and in his last outing, he went 4 innings and gave up 3 runs on 6 hits. He did have 4 strikeouts in that game, but he also gave up 2 home runs.
Yankees vs. Rangers Offense Outlook
So far this season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 2nd in runs per game, averaging 5.1 per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 1st in team OPS and have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs. The Yankees also lead the league in walks and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer so far, with 123 RBIs to go along with his 51 home runs. Judge is also hitting .327 for the season. Juan Soto is 2nd on the team in home runs and has a batting average of .291. Soto is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Corey Seager has been the Rangers’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .276 with a team-leading 30 home runs and 74 RBIs. Seager has also been hot of late, going 10/27 in his last six games, including two homers. Adolis Garcia is also a home run threat for Texas, but he is batting just .225 for the season.
As a team, the Rangers are near the bottom of the league in scoring, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, the team’s batting average of .238 is 15th in the league, and they have the 16th most home runs in the league.
Free Yankees vs. Rangers MLB Pick
The best way to play this Labor Day matchup between the Yankees and Rangers is to go big on the Yankees. Look for a good outing from Gerrit Cole. But with money line odds sitting where they are. I’d go ahead and take New York to not only win but cover the run line.
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