MLB Total Pick: Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

by | Last updated Apr 12, 2023 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, April 12th, 4:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Marlins +162/Phillies -193
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Marlins on Wednesday, April 12th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+162 +1.5 O 8 (-112)
-193 -1.5 U 8 (-109)

Marlins vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Luis Arraez 1 2B
Jorge Soler 2 RF
Garrett Cooper 3 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 4 CF
Avisaíl García 5 RF
Jean Segura 6 SS
Bryan De La Cruz 7 CF
Jacob Stallings 8 C
Jon Berti 9 3B
Edward Cabrera SP


Batting Order Position
Trea Turner 1 SS
Kyle Schwarber 2 LF
J.T. Realmuto 3 C
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
Kody Clemens 5 3B
Bryson Stott 6 2B
Alec Bohm 7 3B
Jake Cave 8 RF
Brandon Marsh 9 CF
Zack Wheeler SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 5-7 SU / OU 6-5 / Runline 4-8
Philadelphia Phillies: 4-7 SU / OU 6-5 / Runline 4-7

Through 12 games, the Marlins have a below .500 record of 5-7 putting them 3rd in the NL East. After three series, they have have gone 1-2. At home, the Marlins are 3-4 while going 2-3 record on the road.

Being favored three times in 12 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 4-8. The team’s over/under record comes in at 6-5 with an average betting line of 8.

With 11 games under their belt, the Phillies are 4th in the NL East with a below .500 record (4-7). With three series played, Philadelphia boasts a 1-2 record to date. The Phillies’ have a 3-2 record when playing at home and a 1-5 record on the road.

Being favored five times in 11 games, Philadelphia has a record against the runline of 4-7. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team’s over/under record stands at 6-5.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Edward Cabrera 2 2 6 0-1 5.40 2.25 0


The Marlins will turn to starter Edward Cabrera who has an overall record of 0-1. Through two appearances his ERA stands at 5.40 with a K/9 figure of 0.9. So far, he has put together of FIP of 7.44 to go along with an OBP of .429.

Edward Cabrera will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Mets. In the Marlins’ 9-3 loss, Cabrera gave up two runs in 2 2/3 innings of work.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zack Wheeler 2 2 9 0-1 5.59 1.66 1


Zack Wheeler has an overall record of 0-1, and will get the start for the Phillies. With two appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.59, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.49 and an OBP of .364.

Giving up two runs and five hits during his last appearance against the Reds, Zack Wheeler did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Phillies managed to win the game by a score of 5-2.

Marlins vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

This season, Miami is ranked 27th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 3.2 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 14 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .245, which ranks 18th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 9th compared to 20th at home.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Luis Arraez .647 1 1.059 .725
Garrett Cooper .421 2 .789 .542
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .304 1 .522 .352
Jon Berti .278 1 .444 .332
Yuli Gurriel .385 1 .692 .477


With an average of 4.5 runs per game, Philadelphia is ranked 21st in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Phillies have gone deep 11 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (20th). Their current batting average of .288 ranks 2nd in the league. While their home batting average is 3rd, they rank 5th on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 11 4.5 (21st) 11 (20th) .288 (2nd) .338 (8th) .338 (8th)


Free MLB Pick

Edward Cabrera doesn’t have good numbers early on, but maybe he has a bugaboo with the Mets. That’s who his two games have been against and we’re not going to hold that against him because he had a stellar spring and he pitched really well last season. On the other side of the field is Zack Wheeler, one of the National League’s best right handers. I believe runs will be at a premium today so am betting the UNDER 8 runs.

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