MLB Predictions: Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Thursday, April 27th, 1:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Mariners -105/Phillies -113
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Mariners on Thursday, April 27th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mariners vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Julio Rodríguez	1	CF
Ty France	2	1B
Eugenio Suárez	3	3B
Teoscar Hernández	4	RF
AJ Pollock	5	RF
Jarred Kelenic	6	CF
Tom Murphy	7	C
Jose Caballero	8	SS
J.P. Crawford	9	SS
George Kirby	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Bryson Stott	1	2B
Trea Turner	2	SS
Kyle Schwarber	3	LF
Nick Castellanos	4	RF
Brandon Marsh	5	CF
J.T. Realmuto	6	C
Alec Bohm	7	3B
Jake Cave	8	RF
Josh Harrison	9	2B
Matt Strahm	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 11-13 SU / OU 13-11 / Runline 10-14
Philadelphia Phillies: 12-13 SU / OU 12-13 / Runline 10-15

So far this season, the Mariners have an overall record of 11-13, putting them 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are three games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 4-4 and 7-9 at home. The team’s series record is 3-4.

• The Mariners have covered the runline in 41.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
• The Mariners have been favored in 70.8% of their games and have runline records of 6-10 and 4-4 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Mariners’ 24 games at 13-11.

With an overall record of 12-13, the Phillies are in 3rd place in the NL East, trailing by five games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 5-8 while going 7-5 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 3-3.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 40.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.4
• The Phillies have been favored in 64.0% of their games and have runline records of 4-8 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 12-13.

Pitching Matchup




The Mariners will turn to starter George Kirby who has an overall record of 2-1. After four appearances, his ERA is 3.57 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 2.79 and an OBP of .283.

A quality start and a win were added to George Kirby’s record in his previous outing against the Cardinals. The Mariners went on to win by a score of 5-2. Kirby allowed two runs and three hits during six innings.




Matt Strahm has an overall record of 1-2, and will get the start for the Phillies. With five appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.00, while his K/9 figure is 1.5. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.93 and an OBP of .239.

Matt Strahm is coming off an outing against the Rockies in which he allowed three runs on three hits in 5 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. The Phillies lost the game by a score of 5-0.

Mariners vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

At 4.5 runs per contest, Seattle is currently ranked 19th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 26 long balls hit so far. The team’s current batting average of .227 places them 25th in the league. On the road, the Mariners are 8th in batting average compared to 27th at home.

Seattle Mariners Team Hitting Stats




Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games




With 4.5 runs per game, Philadelphia is ranked 14th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 28 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .279 is 1st in the league. While their home batting average ranks 4th, they rank 3rd on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Mariners have been holding their own on the road this season, with a 4-4 record after last night’s loss. Today, they’re sending George Kirby to the mound. He’s been pretty solid so far, bouncing back from a rough first game with three quality starts in a row. His best performance might’ve been his only road start, where he gave up just one run in six innings, allowing five hits and zero walks during a daytime match in Cleveland.

The Phillies, on the other hand, are on a roll, winning four of their last five games and seven of their past ten. However, it’s worth noting that six of those wins were against three teams with a combined record of 25-51. So, not exactly top-tier competition.

Matt Strahm is starting for the Phillies. He had a strong start to the season with nine scoreless innings in his first two starts. He struggled against the Reds (2 2/3 IP, 3 ER) but recovered well in his last outing, going 5 1/3 innings, allowing three runs on just three hits and striking out 11. Although his day game stats are based on a small sample size, they aren’t great, with a 7.36 ERA over 3 2/3 innings pitched.

Considering all that, I’m backing the team with the better starting pitcher and bullpen at virtually even odds. So, let’s put our money on Seattle -101.