MLB Predictions: Dodgers at Padres 5/7/23

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Sunday, May 7th, 7:00 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Dodgers -110/Padres -108 (Bet on baseball for cheaper odds at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Dodgers on Sunday, May 7th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Dodgers vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 20-14 SU / OU 19-14 / Runline 17-17

San Diego Padres: 18-16 SU / OU 13-19 / Runline 17-17The Dodgers head into today’s game in first place in the NL West on a record of 20-14. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 7-3. At home, Los Angeles is 12-6 and 8-8 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 5-4.

• The Dodgers have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.2
• The Dodgers have been favored in 91.2% of their games and have runline records of 10-8 and 7-9 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 58% of the Dodgers’ 34 games at 19-14.

The Padres head into today’s game vs. the Dodgers with an overall record of 18-16. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are two games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 8-6 and 10-10, respectively. San Diego’s overall series record sits at 4-4.

• The Padres have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.0
• The Padres have been favored in 67.6% of their games and have runline records of 9-11 and 8-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 13-19.

Pitching Matchup

The Dodgers will turn to starter Julio Urías who has an overall record of 4-3. Through seven appearances his ERA stands at 3.86 with a K/9 figure of 1.1. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.39 to go along with an OBP of .283.

The last time Julio Urías took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 13-1 against the Phillies. Urías gave up one run and one hit across seven innings.

The Padres will turn to starter Joe Musgrove who has an overall record of 1-0. Through two appearances his ERA stands at 1.80 with a K/9 figure of 1.1. So far, he has put together of FIP of 8.16 to go along with an OBP of .385.

In his most recent outing, Joe Musgrove faced the Giants and allowed seven runs on six hits across 3 1/3 innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Padres, won the game by a score of 16-11.

Dodgers vs. Padres Offense Outlook

With 55 home runs hit so far this season (3rd), the Dodgers are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .235. The team’s slugging percentage is .476 at home and .389 on the road.

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With 4.2 runs per game, San Diego is ranked 19th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. So far, they have hit 39 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their current batting average of .233 is 23rd in the league. While their home batting average ranks 16th, they rank 28th on the road.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Dodgers lit up the Phillies pitching for double-digit runs in all three matches, but they appear to have left their bats at home, scoring just four runs on seven hits over two games since arriving in San Diego. They could get their mojo back facing the Padres starter Joe Musgrove who hasn’t looked all that good in two outings since getting a late start on the season with a toe injury (8 1/3 IP, 10 ER, 4 HR). Dodgers starter Julio Urias has also had a pair of bad starts, but rebounded nicely in his latest where he was nearly flawless allowing one hit on one HR while striking out ten. LAD has won Urias’ last seven starts versus SD, which included five last season (24 IP, 7 ER, 19 H). Take the Dodgers – 105

After lighting up the Phillies’ pitching staff for 36 runs in three games, the Dodgers have struggled to generate offense in their first two games against the Padres, scoring just four runs on seven hits. However, facing Padres starter Joe Musgrove could be the spark they need to regain their form. Musgrove has struggled in his last two starts since returning from a toe injury, giving up ten earned runs and four home runs in just 8 1/3 innings pitched.

On the other hand, Dodgers starter Julio Urias has had a couple of rough starts recently too, but he bounced back in his last outing with a dominant performance. Urias allowed only one hit and one run while striking out ten batters. The Dodgers have won Urias’ last seven starts against the Padres, including five starts last season where he allowed just seven earned runs in 24 innings pitched.
In summary, with the recent struggles of Joe Musgrove and Julio Urias’ history of success against the Padres, the Dodgers are well-positioned to come out on top in this matchup.

Question: Are you betting into a 20-cent line? If so, you’re overpaying! Take a couple minutes to read how betting MLB dimelines can maximize how much you win on your baseball bets! It’s how the sharps/wiseguys bet!